🔷 CryptoQuant: signal to start a bull market $BTC — the fifth time in history
📋 Facts:
• Analyst Darkfost: the baseline for short-term holders is entrenched above the baseline for active long-term holders
• This combination has only been observed the fifth time in all the history of observations
• On July 11, Darkfost warned about the end of the bear market — now there’s confirmation
• Filter: “active” = moved at least once in 7 years (cuts out dormant coins)
• Coins older than 10 years: 3.5+ million BTC have been lying unmoved; +8–30k BTC/month
🧠 My take: Darkfost’s signal is one of the rarest in BTC history—the fifth time since 2010. The logic is simple: when new buyers step in above what active veterans (long-term) are doing, the cycle flips—newcomers pay a premium to enter, while veterans don’t sell. On July 11 he also warned about the end of the bear market—now it’s confirmed. The main driver behind Darkfost’s call is the ETF flow, and he promised to report separately if the signal stops working. But 3.5+ million BTC older than 10 years is an overhang that could wake up at any moment
⚠️ A rare signal ≠ a guarantee: fifth time in history; 3.5 million sleeping coins — a potential supply shock.
❓ Will the ETF flow confirm the fifth in-history signal for the start of a bull market? 👇
#btc
📋 Facts:
• Analyst Darkfost: the baseline for short-term holders is entrenched above the baseline for active long-term holders
• This combination has only been observed the fifth time in all the history of observations
• On July 11, Darkfost warned about the end of the bear market — now there’s confirmation
• Filter: “active” = moved at least once in 7 years (cuts out dormant coins)
• Coins older than 10 years: 3.5+ million BTC have been lying unmoved; +8–30k BTC/month
🧠 My take: Darkfost’s signal is one of the rarest in BTC history—the fifth time since 2010. The logic is simple: when new buyers step in above what active veterans (long-term) are doing, the cycle flips—newcomers pay a premium to enter, while veterans don’t sell. On July 11 he also warned about the end of the bear market—now it’s confirmed. The main driver behind Darkfost’s call is the ETF flow, and he promised to report separately if the signal stops working. But 3.5+ million BTC older than 10 years is an overhang that could wake up at any moment
⚠️ A rare signal ≠ a guarantee: fifth time in history; 3.5 million sleeping coins — a potential supply shock.
❓ Will the ETF flow confirm the fifth in-history signal for the start of a bull market? 👇
#btc
