#ETH走势分析 Tonight, three scenario projections
1️⃣ Range-bound consolidation (higher probability)
It will oscillate back and forth between 2620–2730. In the US session, futures may spike up and down to shake out positions.
Conditions: hold above 2620; Bitcoin holds above 83,600; the US dollar and US Treasury yields do not move violently.
2️⃣ Weak pullback
Break 2620 to the downside on increased volume, and further test 2590; if 2590 is decisively broken, the next target is the 2540–2550 range.
Trigger: Bitcoin moves down; US Treasury yields rise; and leveraged long positions on contracts are heavily liquidated, causing a cascade.
3️⃣ Rebound and repair
To rebound, it must trade with volume and stay above 2730; only then is there a chance to push toward 2780–2800. If it cannot get above 2730, it’s just a consolidation rebound—not a clear reversal to strong upside. It needs spot buying and an improvement in overall market risk appetite.
Key things to watch tonight
1, the hold/loss of support at 2620–2640—this is the ETH short-term strength line;
2, Bitcoin (BTC) support at 83,600—the market direction barometer;
3, the US Dollar Index and US Treasury yields;
4, after the US market opens, data on leveraged liquidations—there may be sudden spike-and-retrace moves.#行情分析📈
1️⃣ Range-bound consolidation (higher probability)
It will oscillate back and forth between 2620–2730. In the US session, futures may spike up and down to shake out positions.
Conditions: hold above 2620; Bitcoin holds above 83,600; the US dollar and US Treasury yields do not move violently.
2️⃣ Weak pullback
Break 2620 to the downside on increased volume, and further test 2590; if 2590 is decisively broken, the next target is the 2540–2550 range.
Trigger: Bitcoin moves down; US Treasury yields rise; and leveraged long positions on contracts are heavily liquidated, causing a cascade.
3️⃣ Rebound and repair
To rebound, it must trade with volume and stay above 2730; only then is there a chance to push toward 2780–2800. If it cannot get above 2730, it’s just a consolidation rebound—not a clear reversal to strong upside. It needs spot buying and an improvement in overall market risk appetite.
Key things to watch tonight
1, the hold/loss of support at 2620–2640—this is the ETH short-term strength line;
2, Bitcoin (BTC) support at 83,600—the market direction barometer;
3, the US Dollar Index and US Treasury yields;
4, after the US market opens, data on leveraged liquidations—there may be sudden spike-and-retrace moves.#行情分析📈
