$ETHFI #ETHFI From a layout perspective, the focus is not on chasing already-emerged fluctuations, but on determining in advance the position you are willing to wait for. Current price: 0.6719. In 1 hour: +1.19%, in 24 hours: -6.16%.
In terms of cycle alignment, 24 hours is -6.16%, while 1 hour has returned to +1.19%. The short-term is undergoing repair, but the higher timeframe has not fully turned strong. At this stage, treat it as a rebound: only after it regains the key resistance level and completes a valid re-test (pullback), can the judgment be upgraded to a trend reversal.
The first observation zone is 0.67605, used to judge whether a normal pullback has ended. The second observation zone is 0.6345, used to judge whether a deeper retracement can find support. To the upside, pay attention to 0.7176; after a breakout, a pullback confirmation is needed to avoid mistaking a brief penetration for the trend already being open.
For position sizing, distinguish between spot and contracts. If you already hold spot, manage it in stages around key levels without frequently switching directions based on one 1-hour candlestick. If you are in cash (no position), wait for confirmation; entering in batches will be more relaxed. Contracts place greater emphasis on entry location and invalidation conditions. When volatility increases, actively reduce position size to avoid turning a short-term judgment into passive holding.
The purpose of entering in batches is not to constantly average down costs, but to control the pace while the structure remains valid. Once a key support fails, you should stop the original plan and wait for a new price range to form.
Your trading plan must include invalidation conditions. If your judgment is correct, you can realize it in segments; if your judgment is wrong, you must also allow yourself to exit. You cannot use adding positions to conceal the fact that the original logic has changed. The market will update, and your viewpoint should follow price evidence as it evolves.
#US10YTreasuryYieldHits19YearHigh
In terms of cycle alignment, 24 hours is -6.16%, while 1 hour has returned to +1.19%. The short-term is undergoing repair, but the higher timeframe has not fully turned strong. At this stage, treat it as a rebound: only after it regains the key resistance level and completes a valid re-test (pullback), can the judgment be upgraded to a trend reversal.
The first observation zone is 0.67605, used to judge whether a normal pullback has ended. The second observation zone is 0.6345, used to judge whether a deeper retracement can find support. To the upside, pay attention to 0.7176; after a breakout, a pullback confirmation is needed to avoid mistaking a brief penetration for the trend already being open.
For position sizing, distinguish between spot and contracts. If you already hold spot, manage it in stages around key levels without frequently switching directions based on one 1-hour candlestick. If you are in cash (no position), wait for confirmation; entering in batches will be more relaxed. Contracts place greater emphasis on entry location and invalidation conditions. When volatility increases, actively reduce position size to avoid turning a short-term judgment into passive holding.
The purpose of entering in batches is not to constantly average down costs, but to control the pace while the structure remains valid. Once a key support fails, you should stop the original plan and wait for a new price range to form.
Your trading plan must include invalidation conditions. If your judgment is correct, you can realize it in segments; if your judgment is wrong, you must also allow yourself to exit. You cannot use adding positions to conceal the fact that the original logic has changed. The market will update, and your viewpoint should follow price evidence as it evolves.
#US10YTreasuryYieldHits19YearHigh
