#加息预期重燃压整数位 #情绪价格剪刀差反向 #BTC
$BTC Early session report: 84441 dollars. Over the past 24 hours, it’s down 1.98%. The 85,000 level held for a day before breaking. Overnight PMI was strong; on the CME side, the probability of a rate hike in October jumped overnight to 69.7%. The tightening pressure has been pulled even tighter. The US stock Nasdaq ended a four-day winning streak, and crypto followed with a sell-off. The market has cooled down, but sentiment hasn’t fully turned—F&G 71 is still holding in the greed zone and hasn’t retreated with price. That’s a classic “sentiment-price scissors gap” in the opposite direction. On the seller side, K33 did speak up, saying that both the depth and duration of this pullback are far shorter than in the three prior bear-market cycles of 2013, 2017, and 2021, and that the cycle low may already be in place. Analysts may call it one thing, but if you want proof, you still have to wait for the outcome of the October policy meeting. There’s room for a catch-up drop only if it breaks below 83,000. For now, it’s likely to keep choppy trading between 84,000 and 85,000, and then choose a direction after the rate-hike “shoe” settles.
$BTC Early session report: 84441 dollars. Over the past 24 hours, it’s down 1.98%. The 85,000 level held for a day before breaking. Overnight PMI was strong; on the CME side, the probability of a rate hike in October jumped overnight to 69.7%. The tightening pressure has been pulled even tighter. The US stock Nasdaq ended a four-day winning streak, and crypto followed with a sell-off. The market has cooled down, but sentiment hasn’t fully turned—F&G 71 is still holding in the greed zone and hasn’t retreated with price. That’s a classic “sentiment-price scissors gap” in the opposite direction. On the seller side, K33 did speak up, saying that both the depth and duration of this pullback are far shorter than in the three prior bear-market cycles of 2013, 2017, and 2021, and that the cycle low may already be in place. Analysts may call it one thing, but if you want proof, you still have to wait for the outcome of the October policy meeting. There’s room for a catch-up drop only if it breaks below 83,000. For now, it’s likely to keep choppy trading between 84,000 and 85,000, and then choose a direction after the rate-hike “shoe” settles.
