【UNI is up 44% like crazy—I’m watching a single signal right now】
To be honest, when it was up 44 points over 7 days, I didn’t dare to chase. It wasn’t because I thought the direction was wrong—back in 2017 I got cut very badly, so muscle memory is faster than my brain. But that doesn’t mean I’m bearish. If anything, I’m paying even closer attention to UNI than before.
Let’s lay out the logic.
First, look at structure. On the daily chart, this move off the lows has been very decisive: the lows keep getting higher, and the highs are rising too—the trend hasn’t broken. The problem is this—since yesterday, volume has been shrinking and price has started to pull back. Today it’s down -2.3%, and the price is back around $ 9. This kind of action means what? The main players have tested the market at this level and are now waiting for a new signal. Either they push it higher with volume, or they smash it down to shake out the people chasing highs.
The 4-hour chart makes it even clearer. The range from $ 9.2 to $ 9.5 has been capping the price for several hours, and volume is weakening. This is not support and not resistance—it’s a vacuum zone. The real support is from $ 8.5 to $ 8.8. If that breaks, then this move was only a rebound. The real resistance is above $ 10, where there are shares trapped from earlier.
The 1-hour chart is even more sensitive. Right now it’s just grinding around $ 9. If tomorrow BTC holds steady, UNI catching up is quite possible. But if BTC continues to pull back on weakening volume, then UNI most likely needs to drop first to probe $ 8.8.
Someone asked: SEC just approved tokenized stocks—what impact does that have on UNI? If you break it down in practice: this policy is more directly relevant to centralized platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood. UNI is a DEX, and the logic is different. For tokenized stocks to really scale, on-chain liquidity is unavoidable—but that’s a future story. At this moment, it doesn’t directly boost UNI’s actual business volume. So personally, I think this “good news” for UNI is: sentiment matters more than fundamentals—yes, you can tell the story, but don’t take it as gospel.
The key levels for both bulls and bears are simple. I’ll state them directly: the bears are watching $ 8.5—if it breaks, it confirms the rebound is over. The bulls are watching $ 10—can it push through with volume. Either scenario is acceptable to me. My position hasn’t changed; I’m just waiting for this range to give an answer.
Honestly, the hardest part in times like this isn’t losing money—it’s watching it rise and you don’t chase, then you’re relieved when it actually drops… only for it to rally again. FNG is at 71 now—greed zone. Historically, this kind of level isn’t usually the top, but a pullback in the short term isn’t unlikely.
What’s your mindset right now? How heavy is your position? Did you catch any of this 44% move?
To be honest, when it was up 44 points over 7 days, I didn’t dare to chase. It wasn’t because I thought the direction was wrong—back in 2017 I got cut very badly, so muscle memory is faster than my brain. But that doesn’t mean I’m bearish. If anything, I’m paying even closer attention to UNI than before.
Let’s lay out the logic.
First, look at structure. On the daily chart, this move off the lows has been very decisive: the lows keep getting higher, and the highs are rising too—the trend hasn’t broken. The problem is this—since yesterday, volume has been shrinking and price has started to pull back. Today it’s down -2.3%, and the price is back around $ 9. This kind of action means what? The main players have tested the market at this level and are now waiting for a new signal. Either they push it higher with volume, or they smash it down to shake out the people chasing highs.
The 4-hour chart makes it even clearer. The range from $ 9.2 to $ 9.5 has been capping the price for several hours, and volume is weakening. This is not support and not resistance—it’s a vacuum zone. The real support is from $ 8.5 to $ 8.8. If that breaks, then this move was only a rebound. The real resistance is above $ 10, where there are shares trapped from earlier.
The 1-hour chart is even more sensitive. Right now it’s just grinding around $ 9. If tomorrow BTC holds steady, UNI catching up is quite possible. But if BTC continues to pull back on weakening volume, then UNI most likely needs to drop first to probe $ 8.8.
Someone asked: SEC just approved tokenized stocks—what impact does that have on UNI? If you break it down in practice: this policy is more directly relevant to centralized platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood. UNI is a DEX, and the logic is different. For tokenized stocks to really scale, on-chain liquidity is unavoidable—but that’s a future story. At this moment, it doesn’t directly boost UNI’s actual business volume. So personally, I think this “good news” for UNI is: sentiment matters more than fundamentals—yes, you can tell the story, but don’t take it as gospel.
The key levels for both bulls and bears are simple. I’ll state them directly: the bears are watching $ 8.5—if it breaks, it confirms the rebound is over. The bulls are watching $ 10—can it push through with volume. Either scenario is acceptable to me. My position hasn’t changed; I’m just waiting for this range to give an answer.
Honestly, the hardest part in times like this isn’t losing money—it’s watching it rise and you don’t chase, then you’re relieved when it actually drops… only for it to rally again. FNG is at 71 now—greed zone. Historically, this kind of level isn’t usually the top, but a pullback in the short term isn’t unlikely.
What’s your mindset right now? How heavy is your position? Did you catch any of this 44% move?