Iran has completely stalled. The Strait of Hormuz remains blockaded, oil prices have climbed back above $100, and global inflation pressure is rising again; on the other side, the Federal Reserve is still hawkish—10-year U.S. Treasury yields have hit the highest in more than a decade, and the U.S. dollar index has also broken out to the upside.

This combination is unfriendly to crypto: rising oil prices stoke inflation, higher interest rates drain liquidity, and a stronger dollar weighs on risk assets. So BTC pulled back from above $84,493, and ETH and SOL followed lower too—over the past 24 hours, most coins are down by about one or two percentage points.

But my view is that—this round of geopolitical shocks is actually giving Bitcoin’s “digital gold” hedging narrative more screen time. The more chaotic the situation is and the more fiat credit is questioned, the more people are willing to move a portion of their money into BTC. That’s why it doesn’t fall too deep and has support.

For crypto traders: don’t chase highs in the short term, and don’t let panic sentiment push you into cutting losses. The real reversal signal is when the Federal Reserve shifts from hawkish to dovish. Until then, falling prices are an opportunity to accumulate in batches—not a time to run.