$UNI After reaching a high at 10.953, it has fallen for three consecutive days. Now RSI(6) is only 17.8— the short-term drop has broken through and is extremely oversold.
From the bottom at 8.454, it surged up to a peak of 10.953, with a gain of nearly 30%. However, after topping out, it printed multiple consecutive bearish candles, and the price has already fallen back to 9.511, with a 24-hour decline of -1.79%. The upper band of the Bollinger Bands has been flattening all the way from 11.035 and even dipped slightly, indicating that the momentum from this rally could not be sustained. The mid-band at 10.055 has already been broken; the price is now trading near the lower band around 9.074.
Pay attention to open interest here: Open Interest has been expanding from around 27M to the current level, and the notional value of 266.65M is also continuously rising. This suggests that capital has not broadly withdrawn; instead, as the price declines, positions have been added consistently. This looks more like funds are laying out at lower prices rather than the trend having fully turned bad. RSI(6) is only 17.859—short-term is severely oversold. KDJ’s %K at 15.35 is also low, creating a need for a short-term technical rebound.
My view: This is a normal pullback after a spike-and-reversal, not a trend reversal. The increase in open interest is actually a positive signal. 9.074 (the Bollinger lower band) is the key support. If it breaks down, there is still a possibility of a technical rebound beforehand. But to turn bullish again, we need to wait for the price to reclaim above the Bollinger mid-band of 10.055. Right now, it can only be considered an oversold bet on a rebound—not a confirmed trend shift.
#UNI #UNIUSDT #AI股持续上涨还有哪些投资机会
From the bottom at 8.454, it surged up to a peak of 10.953, with a gain of nearly 30%. However, after topping out, it printed multiple consecutive bearish candles, and the price has already fallen back to 9.511, with a 24-hour decline of -1.79%. The upper band of the Bollinger Bands has been flattening all the way from 11.035 and even dipped slightly, indicating that the momentum from this rally could not be sustained. The mid-band at 10.055 has already been broken; the price is now trading near the lower band around 9.074.
Pay attention to open interest here: Open Interest has been expanding from around 27M to the current level, and the notional value of 266.65M is also continuously rising. This suggests that capital has not broadly withdrawn; instead, as the price declines, positions have been added consistently. This looks more like funds are laying out at lower prices rather than the trend having fully turned bad. RSI(6) is only 17.859—short-term is severely oversold. KDJ’s %K at 15.35 is also low, creating a need for a short-term technical rebound.
My view: This is a normal pullback after a spike-and-reversal, not a trend reversal. The increase in open interest is actually a positive signal. 9.074 (the Bollinger lower band) is the key support. If it breaks down, there is still a possibility of a technical rebound beforehand. But to turn bullish again, we need to wait for the price to reclaim above the Bollinger mid-band of 10.055. Right now, it can only be considered an oversold bet on a rebound—not a confirmed trend shift.
#UNI #UNIUSDT #AI股持续上涨还有哪些投资机会
