$INTCB #INTC Order book record: current price 124.11, +0.15% in the last 1 hour, +3.09% in the last 24 hours, with an intraday amplitude of about 4.2% over the last 24 hours. First I will write down the data and my judgment at this moment, and later use the price action to verify.

$INTCB #INTC is once again approaching the high from the past 24 hours. The closer it gets to the resistance zone, the more important the closing position and the subsequent pullback become. A breakout during the session by itself does not necessarily mean it has held.

I will take 121.885 as the short-term long/short midpoint: if it holds, it indicates that the pullback is still within a controllable range; then, if conditions are met, a retest of 124.51 again is possible. If there is a valid breakdown, don’t rush to enter—wait for a new stable structure to appear around 119.26.

My scenario analysis is not a one-sided bet. If the price breaks above 124.51 and can hold, it means the upside space has been reopened. If it breaks below 119.26 and cannot rebound, it indicates further weakening of the structure. If it trades between these two levels, we should continue to observe the closing behavior on both sides of 121.885.

When I do my post-trade review, I will check three things: how the price reacts when it first approaches the key level, whether the 1-hour close completes confirmation, and whether I adjusted the plan according to the schedule after the judgment becomes invalid. Compared with only recording the result, these three items are better at revealing execution problems.

The focus of short-term positioning is not to predict every single candlestick, but to ensure there is a basis for entry, trimming, and exiting. Do less without confirmation; when a key level fails, redo the plan—control the risk of each trade first, then talk about the subsequent room for movement.

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