When you’re treating it like nobody gets trapped easily just because there are so many copycat deals—if this doesn’t count as a bull market, then what does? People who are slow to react always end up going farther and farther down the road of relying on I-pā-fēi. At this moment, what you should do is change your bearish mindset, not keep fantasizing about getting picked up to your “ride” when price revisits the previous low for you! #比特币突破8.7万美元创八个月新高
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BTC猫头鹰
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#牛市到来 The bull market may have truly already started. Reasons are as follows: judge for yourself!
1: On the macro level: the Fed’s rate hikes have been implemented, Japan’s rate hike has also landed, and clear plans have materialized. The Russia-Ukraine war has become largely “inconsequential,” and the situation in the Middle East is basically at this point as well. On the surface, it’s all kinds of bearish news; in reality, all the bad news has already been priced in. In other words, things can only get better from here—nothing worse than before.
2: On geopolitics: as the U.S. midterm elections approach, Trump has to cool down tensions in the Middle East. Once geopolitics eases, how should the market move? Think it through yourself. Oil prices are the best reference: once oil starts to plunge hard, crypto and U.S. stocks will inevitably surge!
3: On technical analysis: the daily chart for BTC is at the top of the daily consolidation range. The weekly MACD has already touched the 0 axis. I said earlier that this signal is extremely crucial. It’s not hard to spot the bull-market start signal; the rare part is the confirmation signal. It’s like breaking a key level—if the pullback hasn’t finished yet, you can’t say it’s firmly held. And the weekly MACD crossing above the 0 axis is precisely that confirmation. Compared with 2023: with the MACD standing above 0, BTC’s corresponding position must also hold above 82,000, then it should push toward the 85,000–87,000 area. After the pullback confirms, the market won’t turn back.
4: Yesterday I noticed the public-chain sector was broadly surging. Old geese who have survived several bull-bear cycles should know: when a bull market starts, BTC breaks first, then ETH is especially strong. After that comes the public chain, followed by consolidation—then the AI sector, the DeFi sector, and the meme sector will begin rotating. And right now, the broad strength in public chains also supports the bull-market start signal, suggesting it’s about to enter the confirmation stage.
The bull market has started. Be cautious about shorting—be cautious about shorting!
As a technical-type player + a blogger, I shouldn’t be overly expecting the trend. Mature traders act based on real-time price movements and the corresponding strategy, and shouldn’t add too much personal subjective expectation that deviates from the objective essence of trading! But as a veteran “old leek” in the crypto圈 for seven years, I have a strong feeling—maybe that person really is coming. There will definitely be a pullback later, but there will not be new lows. 🔝I’m staking this claim here—see you in half a year to find out!
1: On the macro level: the Fed’s rate hikes have been implemented, Japan’s rate hike has also landed, and clear plans have materialized. The Russia-Ukraine war has become largely “inconsequential,” and the situation in the Middle East is basically at this point as well. On the surface, it’s all kinds of bearish news; in reality, all the bad news has already been priced in. In other words, things can only get better from here—nothing worse than before.
2: On geopolitics: as the U.S. midterm elections approach, Trump has to cool down tensions in the Middle East. Once geopolitics eases, how should the market move? Think it through yourself. Oil prices are the best reference: once oil starts to plunge hard, crypto and U.S. stocks will inevitably surge!
3: On technical analysis: the daily chart for BTC is at the top of the daily consolidation range. The weekly MACD has already touched the 0 axis. I said earlier that this signal is extremely crucial. It’s not hard to spot the bull-market start signal; the rare part is the confirmation signal. It’s like breaking a key level—if the pullback hasn’t finished yet, you can’t say it’s firmly held. And the weekly MACD crossing above the 0 axis is precisely that confirmation. Compared with 2023: with the MACD standing above 0, BTC’s corresponding position must also hold above 82,000, then it should push toward the 85,000–87,000 area. After the pullback confirms, the market won’t turn back.
4: Yesterday I noticed the public-chain sector was broadly surging. Old geese who have survived several bull-bear cycles should know: when a bull market starts, BTC breaks first, then ETH is especially strong. After that comes the public chain, followed by consolidation—then the AI sector, the DeFi sector, and the meme sector will begin rotating. And right now, the broad strength in public chains also supports the bull-market start signal, suggesting it’s about to enter the confirmation stage.
The bull market has started. Be cautious about shorting—be cautious about shorting!
As a technical-type player + a blogger, I shouldn’t be overly expecting the trend. Mature traders act based on real-time price movements and the corresponding strategy, and shouldn’t add too much personal subjective expectation that deviates from the objective essence of trading! But as a veteran “old leek” in the crypto圈 for seven years, I have a strong feeling—maybe that person really is coming. There will definitely be a pullback later, but there will not be new lows. 🔝I’m staking this claim here—see you in half a year to find out!