Good morning, guys on the Asian board. Last night the macro news came with quite a punch—I'll pick out the key points and talk about them briefly.
Trump delivered a speech at the UN General Assembly saying he would “annihilate” Iran. Not long after the tough talk, the US delegation turned around and sat down with Iranian people in New York—first contact since June. He’s truly skilled at this kind of combo: firing off threats on one side, shaking hands under the table on the other.
The energy front is even more lively. US diesel prices hit a historic high. Trump then directly called to ban diesel exports, and Treasury Secretary Bessent said they’re assessing feasibility. On the Russia-Ukraine front, Ukraine has also taken out two more Russian refineries. Following that, Bank of America warned as well: if Iran’s conflict keeps disrupting supply, it’s not impossible for Brent crude to touch $150. Inflation expectations are getting lit up again.
But for $BTC , this kind of chaos is actually a familiar script. Oil prices are whipsawing, fiscal pressure is mounting, and rate-cut expectations are heating up—another round of the old “printing money / easing” story is being kicked off. You can see the Nasdaq setting new highs too; risk appetite hasn’t really treated the war as a big deal. $ETH is moving with the broader market—short-term it’s all about sentiment, but in the medium term it still comes down to liquidity.
Bluster and negotiations can go on at the same time—and the market is the same way. Panic and FOMO keep flipping back and forth. Hold your position steady; don’t get shaken off the bus.
NFA DYOR
#BTC #ETH #宏观经济 #地缘政治 #cryptocurrency
Trump delivered a speech at the UN General Assembly saying he would “annihilate” Iran. Not long after the tough talk, the US delegation turned around and sat down with Iranian people in New York—first contact since June. He’s truly skilled at this kind of combo: firing off threats on one side, shaking hands under the table on the other.
The energy front is even more lively. US diesel prices hit a historic high. Trump then directly called to ban diesel exports, and Treasury Secretary Bessent said they’re assessing feasibility. On the Russia-Ukraine front, Ukraine has also taken out two more Russian refineries. Following that, Bank of America warned as well: if Iran’s conflict keeps disrupting supply, it’s not impossible for Brent crude to touch $150. Inflation expectations are getting lit up again.
But for $BTC , this kind of chaos is actually a familiar script. Oil prices are whipsawing, fiscal pressure is mounting, and rate-cut expectations are heating up—another round of the old “printing money / easing” story is being kicked off. You can see the Nasdaq setting new highs too; risk appetite hasn’t really treated the war as a big deal. $ETH is moving with the broader market—short-term it’s all about sentiment, but in the medium term it still comes down to liquidity.
Bluster and negotiations can go on at the same time—and the market is the same way. Panic and FOMO keep flipping back and forth. Hold your position steady; don’t get shaken off the bus.
NFA DYOR
#BTC #ETH #宏观经济 #地缘政治 #cryptocurrency