乘风Sunshine

📈 The broad market is surging hard—can it really be only because the “bad news has been fully digested”?

But I think we can’t just look at this one point.
What’s more worth paying attention to is:
price structure, fund flows, and changes in market selling pressure.

$BTC has moved back above the 50-week moving average. In the historical data, after recapturing this line, many times it means the market’s weakest phase may have already passed.

At the same time, recently BTC spot ETFs have seen renewed inflows, and the selling pace from long-term holders has also clearly slowed.

In short:
Selling pressure is weakening, and buyers are starting to take the initiative again.
So right now I’m actually not very willing to short directly on Monday.

So how should we look at this week?

My idea is very simple:
Don’t rush to short on Monday—wait for trend confirmation on Tuesday and Wednesday.
For BTC support, I’m mainly watching around the 79K area.
As long as after a pullback it can hold, the strong structure hasn’t been broken.

On the upside, I’m watching the resistance zone at 82K—83K.
If it can break through effectively and hold above it, the market may continue seeking room toward higher levels.

So don’t, just because it’s already risen a lot, immediately guess the top.

Rising a lot doesn’t mean it’s going to drop right away.

$ETH is the same as well.
The second coin (二饼) has returned to around 2700. On top, the key focus is the 2700—2800 region.

Because a bull market doesn’t rise in a straight line every day.
In a real uptrend, there will definitely be pullbacks in between.

It might rally high and then fall back, or it might suddenly wick upward to wash out the chasing long positions.

So my approach is still:
First look for longs → hit the resistance zone → guard against a shakeout → pullback and confirm.
If the structure hasn’t broken, then we look at the next leg.

So what I want to say right now is just one sentence:
Wait for shorts.
It’s not that there’s no chance to short—it's that we’re not at the level where I want to short yet.

If BTC and ETH continue to hold key support, it means the bulls are still in control.
Wait until you reach the big resistance overhead and see a clear stall and a volume-backed pullback—then observe the short opportunity.

Trading isn’t about starting to guess the top just because it’s gone up a lot.
What matters is knowing when to act and when to wait.

My plan for this week:
Bias is bullish—wait for confirmation by levels.
Be patient on Monday; confirm on Tuesday and Wednesday.
When the bull run comes, it won’t move only one step.
After the rally, the pullback/shakeout is actually the opportunity we should be waiting for.

🚨 BTC breaks through $86K.

Highest in 8 months.

But the most important question now isn’t:

“How much more can BTC rise?”

Instead, it’s:

How real is this breakout?

Over the past few days, BTC has repeatedly cleared:

₿ $80K
₿ $82K
₿ $85K
₿ $86K

At the same time:

💰 The latest trading day net inflow into US spot BTC ETFs is about $433M
🏦 Strategy bought another 950 BTC last week
📈 BTC has reclaimed key long-term moving averages
🔥 Short squeeze pressure is accelerating the breakout

So the real question is now:

Is $80K–$82K NOW SUPPORT?

Because in a truly strong market,

it’s not about prices continuing to break resistance.

It’s about:

after the breakout, key levels are no longer given back to the shorts.

If $80K–$82K truly completes the resistance→support flip,

the next bigger battle in the market may be near $89K.

But if BTC quickly falls back below $82K,

then the leverage and short-squeeze components in this rally may be larger than we think.

Right now, I’m watching:

📍 $80K–$82K support
🎯 Resistance near $89K
💰 ETF flows for the next trading day
🔥 Whether leverage is quickly building back up

👇 What do you think?

Real breakout 🟢
or
a leverage-driven move 🔴?

#BTC #ETH #BNB

Buy when no one pays attention. Sell where there is a crowd roaring.

🧧🧧🧧 After you learn how to read on-chain data, you’ll realize the way the market tells stories is completely different from before.#virus

Not leaving the candlestick chart—staying behind and going all in, because I genuinely really like it 😘

【Live Preview｜Butterfly C President ➕ Top 100 Community Building】
🦋 Special live stream starts every day✨
⏰ Time: 15:00—17:30 (afternoon)
📍 Live room: Evening Breeze Vesper_1688 (Binance live room)

📈 In a choppy market, Butterfly C President continues to pursue extreme deflation and real token burns, moving forward steadily through community consensus 💪
📊 Key topics of the live stream: interpreting deflation data, alliance planning, track upgrades, and long-term ecosystem value 🌱.
You’re welcome to join on time, and wait together for the cycle to bloom 🦋🌟

#以太坊突破2700美元

#1688家族family

$ZEC Major news has come from the Middle East! The U.S. is preparing to seriously negotiate with Iran, and both sides don’t want to keep fighting. Geopolitical tensions have cooled down immediately, and many crypto friends’ first reaction is: could the market be about to change its course?🔥

You should know that whenever the Middle East conflict escalates, funds tend to panic and flee, putting pressure on the broader market. Now that easing signals have come out, risk-averse sentiment drops straight away. But everyone, don’t get blindly optimistic—this is just a sign of negotiation, with many uncertainties and possible twists at any time.🔥

If we look at it from the crypto market perspective, it may provide some emotional support to the market in the short term. However, relying on only this single piece of news makes it difficult to directly drive a full bull market. Coin prices ultimately depend on the Federal Reserve’s policies and the amount of capital coming in.🔥

Many retail investors see the news and rush in anxiously—that’s the easiest way to fall into a trap. News-driven market moves come fast and go even faster. Never bet the farm on a rumor. Keep a light position and observe, monitor the progress of the talks closely, and remember: protecting your principal comes first.🔥#日本央行加息至31年高位 #SOL涨约10%

🧧🧧🧧Follow and like to claim rewards🧧🧧🧧

#Circle推出机构比特币抵押借贷

e/acc

$BTC
99000
Callback hits big, +55000
Explodes to the open space 35000
135000
Sideways
To 240000
Explode more, back to
145000
Explodes to the open space to 125000
Sideways
Collect chips, prepare for 324600
Explode more 260000
Explodes to the open space to 235000
Pull up to 460000
Continue to 650000
To 720000
In the middle, eat longs and shorts as a foundation
980000 sideways, kills longs
Stabilize the order book
990000 ends the session
e/acc line chart finished

26.09.22 light rain
Yesterday BTC broke above 86,000 again, reached around 87,300 in the early hours, with a gain of over 7%. US spot BTC ETFs saw roughly $433M in net inflows with money staying put; Strategy also bought about 950 BTC.
This strong breakout—driven by liquidations on the short side, heightened short-term market enthusiasm, and the renewed return of ETF capital—means the next focus is whether ETF inflows will continue, and whether the price can hold above 86,000.
Recent strategy:
① Pressure zone above 86,800–87,600. Don’t chase longs; you can short temporarily, then look for a long after a pullback.
② 84,600–85,500 pullback zone. Pay close attention and wait for confirmation.
③ 83,600–84,200: relatively strong support. You can try a long position with a small size.
④ 80,600–81,300. If it breaks 82,500, and then pulls back to this zone, it’s a support level on a higher time frame and also a potential trend reversal point—be cautious, cautious, and even more cautious.
⑤ If 80,000 breaks, it suggests longs are weakening and the structure is weakening as well, with the possibility that shorts take control.
#比特币突破8.5万美元

A painful truth:

Many people don’t have the patience to spend 3 years building their own career

but they do have the patience to work for someone else for 40 years

Newcomers report—may I be seen and supported by more family members. A small red envelope 🧧 expresses gratitude for your attention. Wishing all the family members who are following, smooth sailing, and nonstop good luck 🙏