Bitcoin $BTC
Breakthrough 85,000. My assessment: this round of the bear market bottoming has already ended. Looking back at historical cycles, past Bitcoin bear markets have shown a clear rhythm: about 6 months of rapid sell-off to find the bottom, followed by another 6 months of sideways consolidation to digest overhang supply, and then the market officially begins its upward move. The high point of this round was around 126,000. After pulling back from the high and adjusting, the time window from the decline to bottoming precisely matches this cycle pattern.
Market data provides further support: over the past 3 months, the rebound has been close to 35%. Recently, trading volume increased and price has held above 85,000, reaching a new annual high. Institutional capital has returned and ETF inflows have warmed up. This is no longer just short-term short-covering—it’s a signal of sustained accumulation of bottoming supply. Compared with previous bear-market cycles, the maximum drawdown in this round has clearly narrowed. The share of institutional holdings has increased, and overall market resilience is far stronger than in the past.
Cycles won’t simply repeat exactly, but the timing and price alignment has already appeared. The winter is over—we’re entering a new upward phase
Breakthrough 85,000. My assessment: this round of the bear market bottoming has already ended. Looking back at historical cycles, past Bitcoin bear markets have shown a clear rhythm: about 6 months of rapid sell-off to find the bottom, followed by another 6 months of sideways consolidation to digest overhang supply, and then the market officially begins its upward move. The high point of this round was around 126,000. After pulling back from the high and adjusting, the time window from the decline to bottoming precisely matches this cycle pattern.
Market data provides further support: over the past 3 months, the rebound has been close to 35%. Recently, trading volume increased and price has held above 85,000, reaching a new annual high. Institutional capital has returned and ETF inflows have warmed up. This is no longer just short-term short-covering—it’s a signal of sustained accumulation of bottoming supply. Compared with previous bear-market cycles, the maximum drawdown in this round has clearly narrowed. The share of institutional holdings has increased, and overall market resilience is far stronger than in the past.
Cycles won’t simply repeat exactly, but the timing and price alignment has already appeared. The winter is over—we’re entering a new upward phase
