Don’t chase too much—whoever chases is the one who dies.
If you miss the move and then try to chase longs at this point, it’s still a dead end.
To be honest,
when each bull market starts,
the dog-and-lion庄’s玩法 are different; with every sharp plunge, they’re essentially wielding a fast guillotine.
Earlier, on 10.11, everyone was looking at 200K—but after one reversal turn, more than half were injured or wiped out, and the crypto world went half a year without a pulse.
And right now too—everyone in the whole circle is going crazy.
The bull market is here, but I still believe this is just the bull’s JJ getting hard; to truly become savage, at least not until after 2028.
For the market action that I can’t make sense of right now,
I want to pause and wait to see: does that dog-and-lion庄 really pump it to 100K in one wave, or will it first pull back to 68,000 and then start a wide-range consolidation above?
If a reversal pattern appears on the daily timeframe, I will still call out short positions.
BTC is already at 88K—
why hasn’t the circle noticed that many people are making money?
Guess what, I was right: 90% of people missed the move.
Every time I get trapped, or get hit, I go looking for comfort with where “Explosion Margin Teeth” and “Bull Head” are.
But I found that Bull Head hasn’t updated for more than a month.
It feels ominous—he probably got tricked into going to Myanmar to have his waist cut off, and both of them were cut too; he should be done for.
If he hasn’t “嘎” (died), then hurry up and come out to show off.
Explosion Margin Teeth—lately I don’t know how many times they’ve gotten liquidated, and I think the things he says, he probably doesn’t believe them himself anymore.
Old friends gradually wither away, like leaves falling in the air—so bleak.
I’m the wronged one. Last round, at 81,000, I called for a short, and when it reached 75,000, I flipped and called for a long.
Calling for shorts was yesterday—at 81,200 I bet it wouldn’t go up. Now it’s going up, I’ve lost—I should have waited for it to pull back a bit, then stop-loss out and see.
BTC—above 85,000, there’s a huge amount of trapped positions. The probability of going straight up is also low.
Will that dog-and-lion庄 give me an opportunity?
Currently, based on the daily chart pattern: there’s a volume-backed breakout at 83,000—yes, the bulls are indeed strong. For now, it looks like a pullback to 83,000. Whether it can be held—if it can’t, it’s a false breakout. There’s heavy resistance above 87,000; in the short term it can’t go up. Don’t chase.
In terms of structure, it’s bullish. A pullback can be used to go long.
On the 4-hour timeframe: short around 86,000, stop loss at 87,500, take profit around 83,000. You may also choose not to do this.
On the weekly timeframe: the MACD structure has a continued rebound requirement; the larger structure is bullish—so pulling back and going long is the main approach.
Last night I dodged this surge.
No liquidation—I'm still alive.
Are you still alive? $BTC