I’ve already knelt down, and there’s nothing to say.
BTC: it broke through 83,000 with volume. Deep down, I’ve already surrendered.
I don’t dare to short anymore, but I also don’t dare to chase longs.
I’m planning to pause for 1–2 weeks and see where it goes next.
If we look at it from the monthly chart, the room to move is 57k to 83k. If it’s a 1:1 ratio, then the high of this rally should be around 100k,
but I don’t know if it will go like that.
Technical analysis sometimes can get people killed.
Later I’ll explain, old fool investors—those who obsessively swear by weekly sword-practice, and why you missed the chance to catch this bottom and the subsequent rise.
Even though I reacted in the middle in time, adjusted my thinking, and I admit the bull market is starting, I still didn’t buy BTC near 70,000–65,000.
There used to be a pattern:
Every time a big bull market begins, after the first wave of上涨, it always pulls back to the EMA200—around 68,000 for BTC.
Will it pull back this time?
I stopped chasing longs and just watched.
As for my shorts, I plan to exit on a pullback around 83,000—cut the loss first.
Admitting defeat is fine. Just stay alive.
As for ETH, 2,800–3,000 is a strong resistance zone. For the short term, I’ll see if I can short.
PAXG—same as before: go long on 4,300–4,200 spot.
For ZEC, if you only look at the K-line pattern, yes, it should be due for a pullback. If you dare, short it and stop out at 1,600.
CL finally pulled back. The target at 80 remains unchanged. If it rebounds and gets close to 100, I’ll short again. If oil is above 100, the whole world can’t tolerate it.
US stocks: SNDK, MU—trying to hit the previous high but hasn’t broken through. Shorting is possible, but still set a stop-loss. INTC chip stock—jumped up a lot again. Really, stock trading is mostly just trading US stocks; the rest of you should learn from that. Most of them are frauds.
For this surge upward: right now, many people can’t rely on continued chart patterns to judge it. But judging from sentiment indicators, it’s extremely greedy—don’t chase the price higher. Even though the bull market is certain, chasing at a time like this is still a dead end.
Honestly, I’m really confused.
In every previous bull cycle start, there were rate cuts and QE.
This time, someone even said it’s a rate-hike bull. What the—are you kidding me?
The whole world is raising rates. The clear bill can’t pass.
And yet this TMD can still surge to higher ground—this is absolutely a dog-and-swine operator cutting retail investors. A rate-hike bull? It’s just losses for the retailers, excuses they made for themselves, right?
$BTC
BTC: it broke through 83,000 with volume. Deep down, I’ve already surrendered.
I don’t dare to short anymore, but I also don’t dare to chase longs.
I’m planning to pause for 1–2 weeks and see where it goes next.
If we look at it from the monthly chart, the room to move is 57k to 83k. If it’s a 1:1 ratio, then the high of this rally should be around 100k,
but I don’t know if it will go like that.
Technical analysis sometimes can get people killed.
Later I’ll explain, old fool investors—those who obsessively swear by weekly sword-practice, and why you missed the chance to catch this bottom and the subsequent rise.
Even though I reacted in the middle in time, adjusted my thinking, and I admit the bull market is starting, I still didn’t buy BTC near 70,000–65,000.
There used to be a pattern:
Every time a big bull market begins, after the first wave of上涨, it always pulls back to the EMA200—around 68,000 for BTC.
Will it pull back this time?
I stopped chasing longs and just watched.
As for my shorts, I plan to exit on a pullback around 83,000—cut the loss first.
Admitting defeat is fine. Just stay alive.
As for ETH, 2,800–3,000 is a strong resistance zone. For the short term, I’ll see if I can short.
PAXG—same as before: go long on 4,300–4,200 spot.
For ZEC, if you only look at the K-line pattern, yes, it should be due for a pullback. If you dare, short it and stop out at 1,600.
CL finally pulled back. The target at 80 remains unchanged. If it rebounds and gets close to 100, I’ll short again. If oil is above 100, the whole world can’t tolerate it.
US stocks: SNDK, MU—trying to hit the previous high but hasn’t broken through. Shorting is possible, but still set a stop-loss. INTC chip stock—jumped up a lot again. Really, stock trading is mostly just trading US stocks; the rest of you should learn from that. Most of them are frauds.
For this surge upward: right now, many people can’t rely on continued chart patterns to judge it. But judging from sentiment indicators, it’s extremely greedy—don’t chase the price higher. Even though the bull market is certain, chasing at a time like this is still a dead end.
Honestly, I’m really confused.
In every previous bull cycle start, there were rate cuts and QE.
This time, someone even said it’s a rate-hike bull. What the—are you kidding me?
The whole world is raising rates. The clear bill can’t pass.
And yet this TMD can still surge to higher ground—this is absolutely a dog-and-swine operator cutting retail investors. A rate-hike bull? It’s just losses for the retailers, excuses they made for themselves, right?
$BTC
