Read to the end. Perhaps this thought will help you look at the market in a completely different way and maintain the opportunity to significantly increase your capital in the coming months.

This will include not only my opinion. Look at the facts.

Bitcoin was trading around $75,000 not long ago. Today we’ve already seen $86,000+.

And you know what an enormous number of people are doing right now?

Big correction is waiting again.

In my opinion, this is exactly where the market is preparing another trap.

We were in the market for too long, the kind of market that trains traders to behave in one way:

rise → sell;

bounce → open SHORT;

another rise → SHORT again.

But now the structure changes.

In the past 24 hours, the market liquidated more than $750 million in positions, about $648 million of which were shorts. (The Block)

Just think about this number.

People kept putting huge money on a drop—while Bitcoin simply kept going higher.

And this isn’t the only signal.

In August, U.S. spot-BTC ETFs received more than $3 billion in inflows. After heavy outflows on September 15–16, the money started returning again: on September 17 about +$159.5 million, and on September 18 — several hundred million more. (21shares.com)

Now the most important thing.

Macroeconomics suddenly didn’t become great.

Geopolitical conflicts haven’t gone away. Rates remain high. Regulatory risks haven’t disappeared.

What’s more, the market received another negative factor: the CLARITY Act failed to pass procedural voting in the Senate.

And what did Bitcoin do?

Don’t die.

It didn’t return to $50,000.

It held the area after the drop to around $75,000 and today moved above $86,000. (Reuters)

Here is where my main point is:

the market might have been pricing in a significant part of the risks that are still scaring you today.

And now psychology begins.

People expected $60k — didn’t get it.

They expected another drop after $75k — didn’t get it.

Cut shorts at $80k.

Cut shorts at $83k.

Cutting shorts at $85k.

And the market has already wiped out hundreds of millions of dollars worth of those positions.

What happens if Bitcoin, instead of the expected massive drop, makes a short sharp correction—one that gets bought up instantly—and the price continues moving?

Then the next stage begins.

Those who waited for the perfect entry for months begin to be afraid—not anymore of the drop itself.

They start being afraid they won’t make it in time to buy.

That’s what FOMO is.

And it turns into this chain:

SHORT → liquidation → rise → expecting a correction → the correction gets bought up quickly → new high → FOMO → new capital → next high.

I wouldn’t be surprised if the market tries to break through $90,000 much faster than most people are currently expecting—and after it consolidates there, talk of $100,000 will stop sounding like something crazy.

But for me, there’s something even more interesting.

When Bitcoin, after a big move, starts consolidating at a new higher price, the realized capital begins looking for higher returns.

BTC → ETH → large altcoins → DeFi/RWA → mid caps → small caps.

And that’s where the most interesting part of the cycle potentially starts.

So my strategy right now is extremely simple:

don’t try to guess the perfect price down to the last dollar. Don’t enter all your capital with one button. Allocate funds and build the position in parts, as the market moves.

Because there will be a correction. Corrections happen in any rising market.

But my scenario is different:

The next correction may turn out to be significantly smaller and shorter than the one the crowd is currently expecting.

And if that happens, the main question in a few weeks will no longer be:

“When will Bitcoin be back at $75,000 again?”

A:

“Why didn’t I start buying when it was at $85–86k?”

Save this post.

We’ll get back to it when Bitcoin comes to $90,000.