Good evening. This Monday, we’re not planning to let anyone have an easy time.
$BTC on the weekend—80000 US dollars was forcibly taken back. The plot is pretty surreal: once the Fed’s rate hikes were in place, the CFTC then caused personnel turmoil; when regulatory expectations loosened, the funds basically threw the textbook away—selling pressure was spun into something being traded as good news.
The real powder keg is the Middle East. Trump vowed to “destroy Iran’s economy,” and Iran’s military responded with “painful retaliation.” The Strait of Hormuz said it would shut down on the spot, and the Houthis also bombed Saudi Arabia’s capital. After oil prices opened higher on Monday, they fell for four straight days. WTI hovered around 93 dollars. Saudi Aramco even decided to pause some of next month’s quotas for European clients. War risk premium and expectations for supply recovery keep tugging back and forth—so in the short term, everything depends on the headlines’ mood.
Two small observations: After the Fed uncertainty finally plays out, copper is moving up along with China’s demand, and the smart money is betting on a soft landing. Also, Anthropic and OpenAI have been tagged as accomplices for calling to “slow down AI development.” Even when they try to hit the brakes, they get sued—somewhat ironic.
This week, the Fed’s speeches and the U.S.-China talks in New York are all lined up, so volatility won’t be low. Keep positions light—don’t chase highs. Staying alive is the real skill.
NFA DYOR
#BTC #比特币 #中东局势 #原油 #cryptocurrency
$BTC on the weekend—80000 US dollars was forcibly taken back. The plot is pretty surreal: once the Fed’s rate hikes were in place, the CFTC then caused personnel turmoil; when regulatory expectations loosened, the funds basically threw the textbook away—selling pressure was spun into something being traded as good news.
The real powder keg is the Middle East. Trump vowed to “destroy Iran’s economy,” and Iran’s military responded with “painful retaliation.” The Strait of Hormuz said it would shut down on the spot, and the Houthis also bombed Saudi Arabia’s capital. After oil prices opened higher on Monday, they fell for four straight days. WTI hovered around 93 dollars. Saudi Aramco even decided to pause some of next month’s quotas for European clients. War risk premium and expectations for supply recovery keep tugging back and forth—so in the short term, everything depends on the headlines’ mood.
Two small observations: After the Fed uncertainty finally plays out, copper is moving up along with China’s demand, and the smart money is betting on a soft landing. Also, Anthropic and OpenAI have been tagged as accomplices for calling to “slow down AI development.” Even when they try to hit the brakes, they get sued—somewhat ironic.
This week, the Fed’s speeches and the U.S.-China talks in New York are all lined up, so volatility won’t be low. Keep positions light—don’t chase highs. Staying alive is the real skill.
NFA DYOR
#BTC #比特币 #中东局势 #原油 #cryptocurrency