📈 Is this strong rally in the market really just “bad news already digested”?
$BTC has returned above the weekly MA50. In historical data, reclaiming this MA several times has coincided with signals that the market’s weakest phase is starting to pass.
At the same time, the BTC Spot ETF has recently seen money flow back in, while the sell speed from long-term holders is also slowing down.
Simply put:
For BTC, the area I’m especially watching is 79K.
If price retests but still holds this zone → the strong structure hasn’t been broken yet.
Above that, I’ll be watching 82K–83K.
If BTC breaks out and holds this area firmly → the market could continue to seek higher zones.
$ETH is similar.
ETH is currently back around 2,700. Above that, I’m watching the 2,700–2,800 zone.
Because a rising market never moves straight up in one go.
Even a strong uptrend can still appear like this:
Strong push → shakeout/chop → sweep the longs → retest → and only then continue.
🍑 My mindset is still:
Prioritize longs → run into resistance → stay alert for shakeouts → wait for a retest.
So right now, I only want to say one thing:
For shorts, wait.
It’s not that there’s no opportunity to short, but it’s just not at the position I want to short yet.
Wait until it reaches a major resistance zone. If price doesn’t rise further + selling volume increases + the structure weakens, then it’s worth observing a short opportunity.
Trading isn’t about assuming the top just because price is pumping.
What matters is knowing when to enter—and when to wait.
📌 This week’s plan:
Bullish bias → wait for confirmation.
On Monday, be patient → Tuesday/Wednesday for confirmation.
A bull market doesn’t only have one up-leg.
After a strong rally, the shakeouts are sometimes the real opportunities worth waiting for.
$BTC has returned above the weekly MA50. In historical data, reclaiming this MA several times has coincided with signals that the market’s weakest phase is starting to pass.
At the same time, the BTC Spot ETF has recently seen money flow back in, while the sell speed from long-term holders is also slowing down.
Simply put:
For BTC, the area I’m especially watching is 79K.
If price retests but still holds this zone → the strong structure hasn’t been broken yet.
Above that, I’ll be watching 82K–83K.
If BTC breaks out and holds this area firmly → the market could continue to seek higher zones.
$ETH is similar.
ETH is currently back around 2,700. Above that, I’m watching the 2,700–2,800 zone.
Because a rising market never moves straight up in one go.
Even a strong uptrend can still appear like this:
Strong push → shakeout/chop → sweep the longs → retest → and only then continue.
🍑 My mindset is still:
Prioritize longs → run into resistance → stay alert for shakeouts → wait for a retest.
So right now, I only want to say one thing:
For shorts, wait.
It’s not that there’s no opportunity to short, but it’s just not at the position I want to short yet.
Wait until it reaches a major resistance zone. If price doesn’t rise further + selling volume increases + the structure weakens, then it’s worth observing a short opportunity.
Trading isn’t about assuming the top just because price is pumping.
What matters is knowing when to enter—and when to wait.
📌 This week’s plan:
Bullish bias → wait for confirmation.
On Monday, be patient → Tuesday/Wednesday for confirmation.
A bull market doesn’t only have one up-leg.
After a strong rally, the shakeouts are sometimes the real opportunities worth waiting for.
