乘风Sunshine
414 Posts
乘风Sunshine
Report
Block User
币安返佣码：CFCF888 ｜X推特@KeShiqing57753｜周一到周五，每天早上七八点（睡醒就播）和下午三点开播事件合约，晚上十点（看行情）播永续合约&事件合约。周六周日（看行情决定播不播，没流动性就休息）｜神魔皆以血祠，想做成事的三个秘诀：一门深入，一本正经；做成一件事，然后做成另一件事；克勤克俭，绝情绝欲。
Frequent Trader
1.7 Years
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Today marks the first day of returning to live streaming. The brothers in the morning session—every one of you took three purchases; my first order got picked up too. I guess it’s a good start. This afternoon at 3:00, we’ll continue the event contract. I’ll be waiting for you in the live room, through wind and rain. @sqyyyy1234
Today marks the first day of returning to live streaming. The brothers in the morning session—every one of you took three purchases; my first order got picked up too. I guess it’s a good start. This afternoon at 3:00, we’ll continue the event contract. I’ll be waiting for you in the live room, through wind and rain. @乘风Sunshine
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In this wave of big “bills” pumping hard this afternoon, the number of businesses that went bankrupt must be countless 😭😭😭 To all the brothers and sisters who went bankrupt—come leave a comment in the comment section and comfort me 😭😭😭
In this wave of big “bills” pumping hard this afternoon, the number of businesses that went bankrupt must be countless 😭😭😭 To all the brothers and sisters who went bankrupt—come leave a comment in the comment section and comfort me 😭😭😭
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📰 Key Points from the Crypto Market Last Week
1️⃣ The Fed Hikes Rates for the First Time in Three Years, BTC Drops Then Rebounds
The U.S. Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on September 16, marking the first rate hike in three years; it also signaled that further hikes may still happen this year. BTC briefly fell to around $75,000, then rebounded.
2️⃣ The CLARITY Act Stalls in the Senate
The U.S. Senate failed to advance the “CLARITY Act” through a procedural vote of 49–50, temporarily stalling crypto market-structure legislation in the United States. After the news broke, BTC and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle dropped noticeably.
3️⃣ CoinEx Announces Closure of Exchange Operations
After nearly nine years of operation, CoinEx initiated a phased shutdown. The official statement cited a sluggish market, declining trading volume and liquidity, and rising regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading will stop on September 29, and withdrawals will stop on December 22.
4️⃣ BTC Reclaims $80,000
After the CLARITY Act hit a roadblock and the Fed rate-hike shock, BTC later showed a clear recovery. Around September 18, it broke back above $80,000, and overall market risk appetite began to improve.
5️⃣ Rotation Into Altcoins and Layer-2s
As the market gradually absorbed the impact of the rate hike, ETH, XRP, Solana, and some Layer-2 and DeFi tokens became more active. Market funds rotated from BTC toward some mainstream altcoins.
6️⃣ Stablecoins and Institutional Infrastructure Continue to Attract Funding
Velocity, a stablecoin payments company, expanded its Series A funding to $48 million, with participation from Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others. Separately, SBI Group invested $25 million in the payment company dtcpay. Institutional plans for stablecoin payment infrastructure are still ongoing.
📰 Key Points from the Crypto Market Last Week
1️⃣ The Fed Hikes Rates for the First Time in Three Years, BTC Drops Then Rebounds
The U.S. Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on September 16, marking the first rate hike in three years; it also signaled that further hikes may still happen this year. BTC briefly fell to around $75,000, then rebounded.
2️⃣ The CLARITY Act Stalls in the Senate
The U.S. Senate failed to advance the “CLARITY Act” through a procedural vote of 49–50, temporarily stalling crypto market-structure legislation in the United States. After the news broke, BTC and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle dropped noticeably.
3️⃣ CoinEx Announces Closure of Exchange Operations
After nearly nine years of operation, CoinEx initiated a phased shutdown. The official statement cited a sluggish market, declining trading volume and liquidity, and rising regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading will stop on September 29, and withdrawals will stop on December 22.
4️⃣ BTC Reclaims $80,000
After the CLARITY Act hit a roadblock and the Fed rate-hike shock, BTC later showed a clear recovery. Around September 18, it broke back above $80,000, and overall market risk appetite began to improve.
5️⃣ Rotation Into Altcoins and Layer-2s
As the market gradually absorbed the impact of the rate hike, ETH, XRP, Solana, and some Layer-2 and DeFi tokens became more active. Market funds rotated from BTC toward some mainstream altcoins.
6️⃣ Stablecoins and Institutional Infrastructure Continue to Attract Funding
Velocity, a stablecoin payments company, expanded its Series A funding to $48 million, with participation from Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others. Separately, SBI Group invested $25 million in the payment company dtcpay. Institutional plans for stablecoin payment infrastructure are still ongoing.
1️⃣ The Fed Hikes Rates for the First Time in Three Years, BTC Drops Then Rebounds
The U.S. Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on September 16, marking the first rate hike in three years; it also signaled that further hikes may still happen this year. BTC briefly fell to around $75,000, then rebounded.
2️⃣ The CLARITY Act Stalls in the Senate
The U.S. Senate failed to advance the “CLARITY Act” through a procedural vote of 49–50, temporarily stalling crypto market-structure legislation in the United States. After the news broke, BTC and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle dropped noticeably.
3️⃣ CoinEx Announces Closure of Exchange Operations
After nearly nine years of operation, CoinEx initiated a phased shutdown. The official statement cited a sluggish market, declining trading volume and liquidity, and rising regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading will stop on September 29, and withdrawals will stop on December 22.
4️⃣ BTC Reclaims $80,000
After the CLARITY Act hit a roadblock and the Fed rate-hike shock, BTC later showed a clear recovery. Around September 18, it broke back above $80,000, and overall market risk appetite began to improve.
5️⃣ Rotation Into Altcoins and Layer-2s
As the market gradually absorbed the impact of the rate hike, ETH, XRP, Solana, and some Layer-2 and DeFi tokens became more active. Market funds rotated from BTC toward some mainstream altcoins.
6️⃣ Stablecoins and Institutional Infrastructure Continue to Attract Funding
Velocity, a stablecoin payments company, expanded its Series A funding to $48 million, with participation from Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others. Separately, SBI Group invested $25 million in the payment company dtcpay. Institutional plans for stablecoin payment infrastructure are still ongoing.
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《A Pure Technical Sharing Post by Riding the Wind Sunshine: How to Judge Support/Resistance Levels That Act as Pressure Support》
(1) Big Waffle: For every 1,000 points, there are three pressure support/resistance levels (reference levels)
200, 500, 900
(2) Volatility level (Monday to Friday)
Small volatility: USD 3 million, not exceeding USD 5 million
Medium volatility: USD 5 million or more, not exceeding USD 8 million (not excluding the possibility that a single candlestick may reach 10 million or more)
Large volatility: each move no less than USD 10 million (the first candle in the market may not reach 10 million; it may be around 5–8 million)
(3) Real or confirmed support/resistance levels on the chart (80200 as an example)
80200, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80220–80250; resistance: oscillating downward, 80150–80180)
200 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80250–80300; resistance: oscillating downward, 80100–80150)
200 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80300–80400; resistance: oscillating downward, 80000–80100)
80500, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80520–80550; resistance: oscillating downward, 80450–80480)
500 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80550–80600; resistance: oscillating downward, 80400–80450)
500 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80600–80700; resistance: oscillating downward, 80300–80400)
80900, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80920–80950; resistance: oscillating downward, 80850–80880)
900 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80950–81000; resistance: oscillating downward, 80800–80850)
900 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 81000–81100; resistance: oscillating downward, 80700–80800)
《A Pure Technical Sharing Post by Riding the Wind Sunshine: How to Judge Support/Resistance Levels That Act as Pressure Support》
(1) Big Waffle: For every 1,000 points, there are three pressure support/resistance levels (reference levels)
200, 500, 900
(2) Volatility level (Monday to Friday)
Small volatility: USD 3 million, not exceeding USD 5 million
Medium volatility: USD 5 million or more, not exceeding USD 8 million (not excluding the possibility that a single candlestick may reach 10 million or more)
Large volatility: each move no less than USD 10 million (the first candle in the market may not reach 10 million; it may be around 5–8 million)
(3) Real or confirmed support/resistance levels on the chart (80200 as an example)
80200, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80220–80250; resistance: oscillating downward, 80150–80180)
200 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80250–80300; resistance: oscillating downward, 80100–80150)
200 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80300–80400; resistance: oscillating downward, 80000–80100)
80500, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80520–80550; resistance: oscillating downward, 80450–80480)
500 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80550–80600; resistance: oscillating downward, 80400–80450)
500 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80600–80700; resistance: oscillating downward, 80300–80400)
80900, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80920–80950; resistance: oscillating downward, 80850–80880)
900 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80950–81000; resistance: oscillating downward, 80800–80850)
900 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 81000–81100; resistance: oscillating downward, 80700–80800)
(1) Big Waffle: For every 1,000 points, there are three pressure support/resistance levels (reference levels)
200, 500, 900
(2) Volatility level (Monday to Friday)
Small volatility: USD 3 million, not exceeding USD 5 million
Medium volatility: USD 5 million or more, not exceeding USD 8 million (not excluding the possibility that a single candlestick may reach 10 million or more)
Large volatility: each move no less than USD 10 million (the first candle in the market may not reach 10 million; it may be around 5–8 million)
(3) Real or confirmed support/resistance levels on the chart (80200 as an example)
80200, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80220–80250; resistance: oscillating downward, 80150–80180)
200 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80250–80300; resistance: oscillating downward, 80100–80150)
200 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80300–80400; resistance: oscillating downward, 80000–80100)
80500, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80520–80550; resistance: oscillating downward, 80450–80480)
500 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80550–80600; resistance: oscillating downward, 80400–80450)
500 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80600–80700; resistance: oscillating downward, 80300–80400)
80900, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80920–80950; resistance: oscillating downward, 80850–80880)
900 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80950–81000; resistance: oscillating downward, 80800–80850)
900 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 81000–81100; resistance: oscillating downward, 80700–80800)
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《What Is a Real Trading Review》
A real trading review should answer:
Why did I enter then?
Were the conditions met at the time?
If they were met, was my execution correct?
If they weren’t, why did I still enter?
Where was the risk?
Why did the exit happen?
If I could do it again, what would I change?
Finally, classify the mistakes.
For example:
Mistake A: Chasing the breakout.
Mistake B: Delaying the stop-loss.
Mistake C: Position size too large.
Mistake D: Not following the system trading rules.
Mistake E: Overconfidence after a streak of consecutive wins.
One month later, you will gain something extremely valuable:
your own database of mistakes.
And that matters far more than buying another book.
Because the mistakes other people tell you are always their mistakes.
Only the mistakes you’ve repeatedly made, recorded, and corrected yourself will truly become part of your behavioral system.
《What Is a Real Trading Review》
A real trading review should answer:
Why did I enter then?
Were the conditions met at the time?
If they were met, was my execution correct?
If they weren’t, why did I still enter?
Where was the risk?
Why did the exit happen?
If I could do it again, what would I change?
Finally, classify the mistakes.
For example:
Mistake A: Chasing the breakout.
Mistake B: Delaying the stop-loss.
Mistake C: Position size too large.
Mistake D: Not following the system trading rules.
Mistake E: Overconfidence after a streak of consecutive wins.
One month later, you will gain something extremely valuable:
your own database of mistakes.
And that matters far more than buying another book.
Because the mistakes other people tell you are always their mistakes.
Only the mistakes you’ve repeatedly made, recorded, and corrected yourself will truly become part of your behavioral system.
A real trading review should answer:
Why did I enter then?
Were the conditions met at the time?
If they were met, was my execution correct?
If they weren’t, why did I still enter?
Where was the risk?
Why did the exit happen?
If I could do it again, what would I change?
Finally, classify the mistakes.
For example:
Mistake A: Chasing the breakout.
Mistake B: Delaying the stop-loss.
Mistake C: Position size too large.
Mistake D: Not following the system trading rules.
Mistake E: Overconfidence after a streak of consecutive wins.
One month later, you will gain something extremely valuable:
your own database of mistakes.
And that matters far more than buying another book.
Because the mistakes other people tell you are always their mistakes.
Only the mistakes you’ve repeatedly made, recorded, and corrected yourself will truly become part of your behavioral system.
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Article
Trading isn’t talent—it’s a craft you must practice over and overWhen many people first come into contact with trading, they have a very romantic fantasy.
They think that the truly great people in the market are born with something others don’t have.
Some people think they’re born with boldness.
Some people think they’re smart from birth.
Some people think they’re especially sensitive to numbers.
Others think they have some kind of “market sense” that ordinary people can’t understand.
And then, when ordinary people see experts spot the market at a glance and make a lot of money with a single trade, they develop a misconception:
So trading is a game for geniuses.
The reason I can’t make money is because I don’t have talent.
Trading isn’t talent—it’s a craft you must practice over and over
When many people first come into contact with trading, they have a very romantic fantasy.
They think that the truly great people in the market are born with something others don’t have.
Some people think they’re born with boldness.
Some people think they’re smart from birth.
Some people think they’re especially sensitive to numbers.
Others think they have some kind of “market sense” that ordinary people can’t understand.
And then, when ordinary people see experts spot the market at a glance and make a lot of money with a single trade, they develop a misconception:
So trading is a game for geniuses.
The reason I can’t make money is because I don’t have talent.
They think that the truly great people in the market are born with something others don’t have.
Some people think they’re born with boldness.
Some people think they’re smart from birth.
Some people think they’re especially sensitive to numbers.
Others think they have some kind of “market sense” that ordinary people can’t understand.
And then, when ordinary people see experts spot the market at a glance and make a lot of money with a single trade, they develop a misconception:
So trading is a game for geniuses.
The reason I can’t make money is because I don’t have talent.
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Starting tomorrow (September 21), we will officially resume live streaming.
From Monday to Friday, there will be live streams every day at 7–8 AM (as soon as we wake up) and at 3 PM for the event contract. At 10 PM, we will stream perpetual contracts & event contracts (watch the market).
On Saturdays and Sundays (whether we stream or not depends on the market—if there’s no liquidity, we’ll take a break). Please be informed.
Starting tomorrow (September 21), we will officially resume live streaming.
From Monday to Friday, there will be live streams every day at 7–8 AM (as soon as we wake up) and at 3 PM for the event contract. At 10 PM, we will stream perpetual contracts & event contracts (watch the market).
On Saturdays and Sundays (whether we stream or not depends on the market—if there’s no liquidity, we’ll take a break). Please be informed.
From Monday to Friday, there will be live streams every day at 7–8 AM (as soon as we wake up) and at 3 PM for the event contract. At 10 PM, we will stream perpetual contracts & event contracts (watch the market).
On Saturdays and Sundays (whether we stream or not depends on the market—if there’s no liquidity, we’ll take a break). Please be informed.
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Starting next Monday (September 21), we will officially resume live streaming.
From Monday to Friday, daily at 7:00 AM (stream as soon as you wake up) and 3:00 PM we will open event contracts. At 10:00 PM (watch the market), we will stream perpetual contracts & event contracts.
As for Saturdays and Sundays (whether we stream depends on the market—if there is no liquidity, we’ll take a break), please be informed.
Starting next Monday (September 21), we will officially resume live streaming.
From Monday to Friday, daily at 7:00 AM (stream as soon as you wake up) and 3:00 PM we will open event contracts. At 10:00 PM (watch the market), we will stream perpetual contracts & event contracts.
As for Saturdays and Sundays (whether we stream depends on the market—if there is no liquidity, we’ll take a break), please be informed.
From Monday to Friday, daily at 7:00 AM (stream as soon as you wake up) and 3:00 PM we will open event contracts. At 10:00 PM (watch the market), we will stream perpetual contracts & event contracts.
As for Saturdays and Sundays (whether we stream depends on the market—if there is no liquidity, we’ll take a break), please be informed.
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Starting next Monday, we will officially resume live streaming. From Monday to Friday, we will broadcast the spot contract & event contract at 7:00 AM and 3:00 PM each day, and broadcast the perpetual contract & event contract at 10:00 PM. Please be informed.
Starting next Monday, we will officially resume live streaming. From Monday to Friday, we will broadcast the spot contract & event contract at 7:00 AM and 3:00 PM each day, and broadcast the perpetual contract & event contract at 10:00 PM. Please be informed.
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Yesterday’s Crypto Market News Overview
1. SEC clears the way for tokenized US stock trading: The U.S. SEC has introduced an “innovative exemption,” allowing qualifying tokenized securities trading platforms to be exempt from registration as traditional exchanges for a period of up to five years, and to trade tokenized stocks using licensed AMMs and liquidity pools.
2. BTC stabilizes and rebounds after the rate hike: The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on the 16th, but on the 17th BTC traded in a range around about $76.5K. The rebound in U.S. stocks also eased short-term market pressure.
3. The U.S. sanctions the Iranian crypto exchange BitBank: The U.S. Treasury Department has added the Iranian trading platform BitBank and related individuals to the sanctions list, citing its involvement in transferring hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of bitcoin to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Digital assets have once again become a focus of sanctions enforcement.
4. The UK intensifies crackdowns on illegal P2P crypto trading: The UK FCA, together with tax authorities and police, conducted actions at three locations in London suspected of operating unregistered P2P crypto businesses and issued stop orders. The FCA said the UK currently has no registered P2P crypto trading firms.
5. S&P Global acquires OpenZeppelin: S&P Global announced it will acquire blockchain security company OpenZeppelin. Its smart contract infrastructure has supported more than $370 billion in large-scale on-chain transfers, as traditional financial institutions continue to invest in on-chain infrastructure.
Yesterday’s Crypto Market News Overview
1. SEC clears the way for tokenized US stock trading: The U.S. SEC has introduced an “innovative exemption,” allowing qualifying tokenized securities trading platforms to be exempt from registration as traditional exchanges for a period of up to five years, and to trade tokenized stocks using licensed AMMs and liquidity pools.
2. BTC stabilizes and rebounds after the rate hike: The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on the 16th, but on the 17th BTC traded in a range around about $76.5K. The rebound in U.S. stocks also eased short-term market pressure.
3. The U.S. sanctions the Iranian crypto exchange BitBank: The U.S. Treasury Department has added the Iranian trading platform BitBank and related individuals to the sanctions list, citing its involvement in transferring hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of bitcoin to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Digital assets have once again become a focus of sanctions enforcement.
4. The UK intensifies crackdowns on illegal P2P crypto trading: The UK FCA, together with tax authorities and police, conducted actions at three locations in London suspected of operating unregistered P2P crypto businesses and issued stop orders. The FCA said the UK currently has no registered P2P crypto trading firms.
5. S&P Global acquires OpenZeppelin: S&P Global announced it will acquire blockchain security company OpenZeppelin. Its smart contract infrastructure has supported more than $370 billion in large-scale on-chain transfers, as traditional financial institutions continue to invest in on-chain infrastructure.
1. SEC clears the way for tokenized US stock trading: The U.S. SEC has introduced an “innovative exemption,” allowing qualifying tokenized securities trading platforms to be exempt from registration as traditional exchanges for a period of up to five years, and to trade tokenized stocks using licensed AMMs and liquidity pools.
2. BTC stabilizes and rebounds after the rate hike: The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on the 16th, but on the 17th BTC traded in a range around about $76.5K. The rebound in U.S. stocks also eased short-term market pressure.
3. The U.S. sanctions the Iranian crypto exchange BitBank: The U.S. Treasury Department has added the Iranian trading platform BitBank and related individuals to the sanctions list, citing its involvement in transferring hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of bitcoin to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Digital assets have once again become a focus of sanctions enforcement.
4. The UK intensifies crackdowns on illegal P2P crypto trading: The UK FCA, together with tax authorities and police, conducted actions at three locations in London suspected of operating unregistered P2P crypto businesses and issued stop orders. The FCA said the UK currently has no registered P2P crypto trading firms.
5. S&P Global acquires OpenZeppelin: S&P Global announced it will acquire blockchain security company OpenZeppelin. Its smart contract infrastructure has supported more than $370 billion in large-scale on-chain transfers, as traditional financial institutions continue to invest in on-chain infrastructure.
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Article
Kovner’s Paradox: When “Risk Control” Meets “Annualized 87%”—What Are We Missing? I. The paradox is laid out on the table
Bruce Kovner left the trading world its most famous piece of advice: the risk on any single trade should not exceed 1% to 2% of the principal. This discipline has been written into nearly every trading beginner book, and it is repeatedly quoted like scripture in countless training courses. Circulating alongside this rule is another set of numbers: during Kovner’s tenure at Caxton Associates, he produced consecutive years of performance with an average annualized return as high as 87%. He himself started with a borrowed $3,000 and ultimately accumulated a personal fortune of nearly ten billion dollars.
These two sets of numbers placed together form a contradiction that is almost impossible to reconcile with common sense. If, every time you place a bet, you only risk 1% to 2% of the principal, then what kind of compounding structure could possibly support a figure like an annualized 87%? Most articles that paraphrase Kovner’s “golden quote” have never seriously addressed this contradiction—they treat risk discipline as the whole truth to teach, yet they dodge a more fundamental question: risk control explains why Kovner didn’t go bankrupt, but it completely fails to explain why he became so extraordinarily wealthy.
Kovner’s Paradox: When “Risk Control” Meets “Annualized 87%”—What Are We Missing?
I. The paradox is laid out on the table
Bruce Kovner left the trading world its most famous piece of advice: the risk on any single trade should not exceed 1% to 2% of the principal. This discipline has been written into nearly every trading beginner book, and it is repeatedly quoted like scripture in countless training courses. Circulating alongside this rule is another set of numbers: during Kovner’s tenure at Caxton Associates, he produced consecutive years of performance with an average annualized return as high as 87%. He himself started with a borrowed $3,000 and ultimately accumulated a personal fortune of nearly ten billion dollars.
These two sets of numbers placed together form a contradiction that is almost impossible to reconcile with common sense. If, every time you place a bet, you only risk 1% to 2% of the principal, then what kind of compounding structure could possibly support a figure like an annualized 87%? Most articles that paraphrase Kovner’s “golden quote” have never seriously addressed this contradiction—they treat risk discipline as the whole truth to teach, yet they dodge a more fundamental question: risk control explains why Kovner didn’t go bankrupt, but it completely fails to explain why he became so extraordinarily wealthy.
Bruce Kovner left the trading world its most famous piece of advice: the risk on any single trade should not exceed 1% to 2% of the principal. This discipline has been written into nearly every trading beginner book, and it is repeatedly quoted like scripture in countless training courses. Circulating alongside this rule is another set of numbers: during Kovner’s tenure at Caxton Associates, he produced consecutive years of performance with an average annualized return as high as 87%. He himself started with a borrowed $3,000 and ultimately accumulated a personal fortune of nearly ten billion dollars.
These two sets of numbers placed together form a contradiction that is almost impossible to reconcile with common sense. If, every time you place a bet, you only risk 1% to 2% of the principal, then what kind of compounding structure could possibly support a figure like an annualized 87%? Most articles that paraphrase Kovner’s “golden quote” have never seriously addressed this contradiction—they treat risk discipline as the whole truth to teach, yet they dodge a more fundamental question: risk control explains why Kovner didn’t go bankrupt, but it completely fails to explain why he became so extraordinarily wealthy.
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Article
The real secret of Kovner isn’t “only losing 1% per trade”: what he taught the masses may just be a half-set systemMany traders will remember a very beautiful quote when they first come across Bruce Kovner:
“Don’t take on more than 1%—2% risk per trade.”
And then a question arises that seems very reasonable at first glance, but doesn’t hold up under deeper scrutiny:
If you only allow yourself to lose 1%—2% each time, how could a trader possibly achieve exceptionally high long-term compounded returns?
Going further, if Kovner himself was described in (Market Wizards) as having achieved a streak of ten consecutive years with an average annual compounded return of about 87%, then how exactly does 1%—2% risk control coexist with such an outrageous level of returns?
The real secret of Kovner isn’t “only losing 1% per trade”: what he taught the masses may just be a half-set system
Many traders will remember a very beautiful quote when they first come across Bruce Kovner:
“Don’t take on more than 1%—2% risk per trade.”
And then a question arises that seems very reasonable at first glance, but doesn’t hold up under deeper scrutiny:
If you only allow yourself to lose 1%—2% each time, how could a trader possibly achieve exceptionally high long-term compounded returns?
Going further, if Kovner himself was described in (Market Wizards) as having achieved a streak of ten consecutive years with an average annual compounded return of about 87%, then how exactly does 1%—2% risk control coexist with such an outrageous level of returns?
“Don’t take on more than 1%—2% risk per trade.”
And then a question arises that seems very reasonable at first glance, but doesn’t hold up under deeper scrutiny:
If you only allow yourself to lose 1%—2% each time, how could a trader possibly achieve exceptionally high long-term compounded returns?
Going further, if Kovner himself was described in (Market Wizards) as having achieved a streak of ten consecutive years with an average annual compounded return of about 87%, then how exactly does 1%—2% risk control coexist with such an outrageous level of returns?
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Crypto Market News Roundup Yesterday / Catch the Sunshine
1. Fed Hikes Rates by 25 bps, Bitcoin Slips Sideways: The Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%—4%, its first hike since July 2023; BTC saw sharp swings at one point within the $75,000—$76,500 range, while ETH briefly dipped to around $2,370.
2. Bitcoin ETFs See $450 Million Net Outflow in a Single Day: US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest single-day capital outflow since June. Combined with the stalling of the CLARITY Act, regulatory-sensitive crypto assets faced increased pressure, and risk-off sentiment in the market clearly intensified.
3. Circle Officially Launches the Arc Blockchain: Circle introduced the Arc network for payments, tokenized assets, and institutional finance. More than 100 institutions and ecosystem companies are already participating in or exploring it, including BlackRock, Mastercard, Visa, BNY, and HSBC.
4. Deutsche Bank Moves Into Institutional Crypto Custody: Germany’s largest bank plans to launch a regulated digital-asset custody service by 2026. The first batch will support BTC, ETH, and stablecoins such as USDC and EURC, mainly targeting European institutional and corporate clients.
5. SEC and CFTC Prepare to Push Crypto Rules Without New Legislation: After the CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate, the two regulators signaled that they will use existing statutory authorities to continue advancing digital-asset regulatory rules. JPMorgan, meanwhile, believes the bill isn’t completely “dead,” but the window to reintroduce it this year is extremely narrow.
Crypto Market News Roundup Yesterday / Catch the Sunshine
1. Fed Hikes Rates by 25 bps, Bitcoin Slips Sideways: The Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%—4%, its first hike since July 2023; BTC saw sharp swings at one point within the $75,000—$76,500 range, while ETH briefly dipped to around $2,370.
2. Bitcoin ETFs See $450 Million Net Outflow in a Single Day: US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest single-day capital outflow since June. Combined with the stalling of the CLARITY Act, regulatory-sensitive crypto assets faced increased pressure, and risk-off sentiment in the market clearly intensified.
3. Circle Officially Launches the Arc Blockchain: Circle introduced the Arc network for payments, tokenized assets, and institutional finance. More than 100 institutions and ecosystem companies are already participating in or exploring it, including BlackRock, Mastercard, Visa, BNY, and HSBC.
4. Deutsche Bank Moves Into Institutional Crypto Custody: Germany’s largest bank plans to launch a regulated digital-asset custody service by 2026. The first batch will support BTC, ETH, and stablecoins such as USDC and EURC, mainly targeting European institutional and corporate clients.
5. SEC and CFTC Prepare to Push Crypto Rules Without New Legislation: After the CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate, the two regulators signaled that they will use existing statutory authorities to continue advancing digital-asset regulatory rules. JPMorgan, meanwhile, believes the bill isn’t completely “dead,” but the window to reintroduce it this year is extremely narrow.
1. Fed Hikes Rates by 25 bps, Bitcoin Slips Sideways: The Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%—4%, its first hike since July 2023; BTC saw sharp swings at one point within the $75,000—$76,500 range, while ETH briefly dipped to around $2,370.
2. Bitcoin ETFs See $450 Million Net Outflow in a Single Day: US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest single-day capital outflow since June. Combined with the stalling of the CLARITY Act, regulatory-sensitive crypto assets faced increased pressure, and risk-off sentiment in the market clearly intensified.
3. Circle Officially Launches the Arc Blockchain: Circle introduced the Arc network for payments, tokenized assets, and institutional finance. More than 100 institutions and ecosystem companies are already participating in or exploring it, including BlackRock, Mastercard, Visa, BNY, and HSBC.
4. Deutsche Bank Moves Into Institutional Crypto Custody: Germany’s largest bank plans to launch a regulated digital-asset custody service by 2026. The first batch will support BTC, ETH, and stablecoins such as USDC and EURC, mainly targeting European institutional and corporate clients.
5. SEC and CFTC Prepare to Push Crypto Rules Without New Legislation: After the CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate, the two regulators signaled that they will use existing statutory authorities to continue advancing digital-asset regulatory rules. JPMorgan, meanwhile, believes the bill isn’t completely “dead,” but the window to reintroduce it this year is extremely narrow.
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Yesterday’s News Roundup / Riding the Sunshine
1. U.S. Senate blocks motion to advance the CLARITY Act: The Senate fell short of the 60 votes needed to move forward, with a 50–49 vote, temporarily stalling the crypto market structure bill. After the news was released, Bitcoin briefly dropped by more than 5%, and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle weakened in tandem.
2. Bitcoin slips below the $77,000 area: Ahead of the CLARITY Act vote, Bitcoin retreated from near $79,500 to around $77,000. After the bill’s vote failed, risk-off sentiment in the market intensified further.
3. CoinEx announces it will stop exchange operations: CoinEx, which has been operating for nearly 9 years, announced it will gradually shut down the exchange. Cited reasons include a prolonged downturn in the market, shrinking trading volume and liquidity, and rising global regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading is expected to stop on September 29, and withdrawals will close on December 22.
4. U.S. Department of Justice sues two former Robinhood engineers: The DOJ alleges that the two used Robinhood’s internal non-public information to trade related perpetual contracts for Hyperliquid’s tokens in advance. Each is reportedly profited more than $50,000. The case involves commodities fraud and wire fraud charges.
5. Institutional funding boosts stablecoin payment infrastructure: Stablecoin payment company Velocity secured an additional $10 million in Series A funding, bringing the total round amount to $48 million. Participants include Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others, showing that traditional financial institutions are still actively building stablecoin payment infrastructure.
Yesterday’s News Roundup / Riding the Sunshine
1. U.S. Senate blocks motion to advance the CLARITY Act: The Senate fell short of the 60 votes needed to move forward, with a 50–49 vote, temporarily stalling the crypto market structure bill. After the news was released, Bitcoin briefly dropped by more than 5%, and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle weakened in tandem.
2. Bitcoin slips below the $77,000 area: Ahead of the CLARITY Act vote, Bitcoin retreated from near $79,500 to around $77,000. After the bill’s vote failed, risk-off sentiment in the market intensified further.
3. CoinEx announces it will stop exchange operations: CoinEx, which has been operating for nearly 9 years, announced it will gradually shut down the exchange. Cited reasons include a prolonged downturn in the market, shrinking trading volume and liquidity, and rising global regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading is expected to stop on September 29, and withdrawals will close on December 22.
4. U.S. Department of Justice sues two former Robinhood engineers: The DOJ alleges that the two used Robinhood’s internal non-public information to trade related perpetual contracts for Hyperliquid’s tokens in advance. Each is reportedly profited more than $50,000. The case involves commodities fraud and wire fraud charges.
5. Institutional funding boosts stablecoin payment infrastructure: Stablecoin payment company Velocity secured an additional $10 million in Series A funding, bringing the total round amount to $48 million. Participants include Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others, showing that traditional financial institutions are still actively building stablecoin payment infrastructure.
1. U.S. Senate blocks motion to advance the CLARITY Act: The Senate fell short of the 60 votes needed to move forward, with a 50–49 vote, temporarily stalling the crypto market structure bill. After the news was released, Bitcoin briefly dropped by more than 5%, and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle weakened in tandem.
2. Bitcoin slips below the $77,000 area: Ahead of the CLARITY Act vote, Bitcoin retreated from near $79,500 to around $77,000. After the bill’s vote failed, risk-off sentiment in the market intensified further.
3. CoinEx announces it will stop exchange operations: CoinEx, which has been operating for nearly 9 years, announced it will gradually shut down the exchange. Cited reasons include a prolonged downturn in the market, shrinking trading volume and liquidity, and rising global regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading is expected to stop on September 29, and withdrawals will close on December 22.
4. U.S. Department of Justice sues two former Robinhood engineers: The DOJ alleges that the two used Robinhood’s internal non-public information to trade related perpetual contracts for Hyperliquid’s tokens in advance. Each is reportedly profited more than $50,000. The case involves commodities fraud and wire fraud charges.
5. Institutional funding boosts stablecoin payment infrastructure: Stablecoin payment company Velocity secured an additional $10 million in Series A funding, bringing the total round amount to $48 million. Participants include Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others, showing that traditional financial institutions are still actively building stablecoin payment infrastructure.
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Article
U.S. crypto bill failed to pass on September 15: the real negative is more than just a 4% drop in BitcoinIf I had to pick a keyword for the crypto market on September 15, 2026, I would choose:
“Expectation fell short.”
On September 15, local time, the U.S. Senate held a crucial procedural vote on the (CLARITY Act) (Digital Asset Market Structure Act). It ultimately failed to reach the 60-vote threshold needed to advance.
This is not an ordinary bill.
The reason the market has high hopes for it is that it is trying to solve one of the most core problems in the U.S. crypto industry: who should regulate crypto assets, and what kinds of tokens are securities versus what kinds of assets are commodities.
U.S. crypto bill failed to pass on September 15: the real negative is more than just a 4% drop in Bitcoin
If I had to pick a keyword for the crypto market on September 15, 2026, I would choose:
“Expectation fell short.”
On September 15, local time, the U.S. Senate held a crucial procedural vote on the (CLARITY Act) (Digital Asset Market Structure Act). It ultimately failed to reach the 60-vote threshold needed to advance.
This is not an ordinary bill.
The reason the market has high hopes for it is that it is trying to solve one of the most core problems in the U.S. crypto industry: who should regulate crypto assets, and what kinds of tokens are securities versus what kinds of assets are commodities.
“Expectation fell short.”
On September 15, local time, the U.S. Senate held a crucial procedural vote on the (CLARITY Act) (Digital Asset Market Structure Act). It ultimately failed to reach the 60-vote threshold needed to advance.
This is not an ordinary bill.
The reason the market has high hopes for it is that it is trying to solve one of the most core problems in the U.S. crypto industry: who should regulate crypto assets, and what kinds of tokens are securities versus what kinds of assets are commodities.
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Article
A “U.S.-style crypto constitution” fiasco: how the CLARITY Act failed—who exactly felt the earthquake?On September 15 in Washington, a vote originally dubbed “the most important legislation for the crypto industry in a decade” ended in a rushed failure, with 49 votes in favor and 50 against (not reaching the 60-vote threshold). This was the (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act), or CLARITY Act.
With the bill gone, Bitcoin fell first. This article intends to lay out, all at once, the background and details of this “failed coup attempt,” the market’s real reaction, and the attitudes of the big players inside the room.
1. What happened: a rout that missed by one vote
The CLARITY Act is not a sudden new proposal. It was passed by the U.S. House of Representatives back in July 2025 by an overwhelming margin of 294 to 134, at the time hailed as a historic breakthrough in the regulatory framework for the crypto industry. The bill aims to clearly delineate regulatory authority over crypto assets between the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) and the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission), and requires trading platforms to segregate customers’ assets from their own—directly addressing the fatal flaw seen in the FTX collapse: “customers’ coins being misappropriated.”
A “U.S.-style crypto constitution” fiasco: how the CLARITY Act failed—who exactly felt the earthquake?
On September 15 in Washington, a vote originally dubbed “the most important legislation for the crypto industry in a decade” ended in a rushed failure, with 49 votes in favor and 50 against (not reaching the 60-vote threshold). This was the (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act), or CLARITY Act.
With the bill gone, Bitcoin fell first. This article intends to lay out, all at once, the background and details of this “failed coup attempt,” the market’s real reaction, and the attitudes of the big players inside the room.
1. What happened: a rout that missed by one vote
The CLARITY Act is not a sudden new proposal. It was passed by the U.S. House of Representatives back in July 2025 by an overwhelming margin of 294 to 134, at the time hailed as a historic breakthrough in the regulatory framework for the crypto industry. The bill aims to clearly delineate regulatory authority over crypto assets between the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) and the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission), and requires trading platforms to segregate customers’ assets from their own—directly addressing the fatal flaw seen in the FTX collapse: “customers’ coins being misappropriated.”
With the bill gone, Bitcoin fell first. This article intends to lay out, all at once, the background and details of this “failed coup attempt,” the market’s real reaction, and the attitudes of the big players inside the room.
1. What happened: a rout that missed by one vote
The CLARITY Act is not a sudden new proposal. It was passed by the U.S. House of Representatives back in July 2025 by an overwhelming margin of 294 to 134, at the time hailed as a historic breakthrough in the regulatory framework for the crypto industry. The bill aims to clearly delineate regulatory authority over crypto assets between the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) and the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission), and requires trading platforms to segregate customers’ assets from their own—directly addressing the fatal flaw seen in the FTX collapse: “customers’ coins being misappropriated.”
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Combat power is still recovering. Number 12 clears number 11 alone—I'll be back to stream once I'm recovered, brothers. (ps: The estimated stream times are still the old schedule: 7 AM, 3 PM for event contracts, and 10 PM for perpetual contracts.)
Combat power is still recovering. Number 12 clears number 11 alone—I'll be back to stream once I'm recovered, brothers. (ps: The estimated stream times are still the old schedule: 7 AM, 3 PM for event contracts, and 10 PM for perpetual contracts.)
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Verified
Yesterday’s Crypto Market News Roundup / Riding the Sunshine
1. Bitcoin rebounds face a key test: Bitcoin has recently returned to around $77,000, with market focus shifting to this week’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Reuters says that expectations of rate cuts and policy uncertainty will be key to whether this rebound can continue.
2. The U.S. CLARITY Act faces a critical vote: U.S. Senate Republicans have released a revised bill text for the crypto market structure act, adding more ethical and regulatory constraints. The Senate will hold a key procedural vote on September 15, and whether it can secure 60 votes remains uncertain.
3. S&P Global bets on crypto data infrastructure: Crypto data company Kaiko completed a $110 million funding round led by S&P Global, showing that traditional financial institutions continue to increase their investments in the crypto data and infrastructure segment.
4. Singapore Exchange approved to offer BTC and ETH perpetual contracts to U.S. institutions: SGX has received U.S. CFTC approval to, through relevant arrangements, provide Bitcoin and Ethereum perpetual contracts to institutional investors in the United States, as traditional exchanges further move into the crypto derivatives market.
5. Institutions continue to add to BTC holdings; Strategy repurchases its own shares: Strategy announced a buyback of about $139 million of STRC preferred stock, while also maintaining a position equivalent to roughly 4% of Bitcoin’s total supply. Another institution, Strive, bought about $36.6 million worth of BTC again yesterday, bringing its holdings above 25,000 coins.
Yesterday’s Crypto Market News Roundup / Riding the Sunshine
1. Bitcoin rebounds face a key test: Bitcoin has recently returned to around $77,000, with market focus shifting to this week’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Reuters says that expectations of rate cuts and policy uncertainty will be key to whether this rebound can continue.
2. The U.S. CLARITY Act faces a critical vote: U.S. Senate Republicans have released a revised bill text for the crypto market structure act, adding more ethical and regulatory constraints. The Senate will hold a key procedural vote on September 15, and whether it can secure 60 votes remains uncertain.
3. S&P Global bets on crypto data infrastructure: Crypto data company Kaiko completed a $110 million funding round led by S&P Global, showing that traditional financial institutions continue to increase their investments in the crypto data and infrastructure segment.
4. Singapore Exchange approved to offer BTC and ETH perpetual contracts to U.S. institutions: SGX has received U.S. CFTC approval to, through relevant arrangements, provide Bitcoin and Ethereum perpetual contracts to institutional investors in the United States, as traditional exchanges further move into the crypto derivatives market.
5. Institutions continue to add to BTC holdings; Strategy repurchases its own shares: Strategy announced a buyback of about $139 million of STRC preferred stock, while also maintaining a position equivalent to roughly 4% of Bitcoin’s total supply. Another institution, Strive, bought about $36.6 million worth of BTC again yesterday, bringing its holdings above 25,000 coins.
1. Bitcoin rebounds face a key test: Bitcoin has recently returned to around $77,000, with market focus shifting to this week’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Reuters says that expectations of rate cuts and policy uncertainty will be key to whether this rebound can continue.
2. The U.S. CLARITY Act faces a critical vote: U.S. Senate Republicans have released a revised bill text for the crypto market structure act, adding more ethical and regulatory constraints. The Senate will hold a key procedural vote on September 15, and whether it can secure 60 votes remains uncertain.
3. S&P Global bets on crypto data infrastructure: Crypto data company Kaiko completed a $110 million funding round led by S&P Global, showing that traditional financial institutions continue to increase their investments in the crypto data and infrastructure segment.
4. Singapore Exchange approved to offer BTC and ETH perpetual contracts to U.S. institutions: SGX has received U.S. CFTC approval to, through relevant arrangements, provide Bitcoin and Ethereum perpetual contracts to institutional investors in the United States, as traditional exchanges further move into the crypto derivatives market.
5. Institutions continue to add to BTC holdings; Strategy repurchases its own shares: Strategy announced a buyback of about $139 million of STRC preferred stock, while also maintaining a position equivalent to roughly 4% of Bitcoin’s total supply. Another institution, Strive, bought about $36.6 million worth of BTC again yesterday, bringing its holdings above 25,000 coins.
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《The Truth Behind 7 Counterintuitive Things in Trading》
Trading is one of the few professions in the world where cognition, human nature, and discipline are priced directly.
The market doesn’t care how hard you try.
If you pull all-nighters to review charts, you won’t make an extra cent.
If you study hundreds of indicators, it still won’t make the market more sympathetic to you.
The only language the market truly recognizes is your account balance.
So, here are some truly counterintuitive truths in trading:
1. The more you want to make money, the more likely you are to lose money.
Because the desire to profit will push you to trade;
trading impulse will push you to search for opportunities;
and the real opportunities—precisely—won’t show up every day.
2. The most important ability in trading isn’t judgment; it’s the willingness to give up.
Give up opportunities you don’t have conviction in,
let go of logic that has already become invalid,
and abandon the fantasy that says, “Just wait— it will come back.”
3. Experts aren’t more daring gamblers than ordinary people; they’re more daring at not gambling.
When others are fully loaded with positions, they can go to cash.
When others succumb to FOMO, they can wait.
When others go crazy, they start calculating risk instead.
4. A stop loss isn’t surrender—it’s refusing to let a mistake turn into a catastrophe.
What’s truly dangerous has never been the loss itself.
It’s when you lose 10% and start imagining you’ll break even;
when you lose 30% and begin praying for a rebound;
when you lose 50% and end up surviving on nothing but faith.
5. Win rate isn’t the thing you should chase the most.
Because a single fatal big loss can wipe out dozens of small wins.
What trading really competes on is:
How much you make when you’re right, and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
6. The most dangerous trade isn’t the one that loses money—it’s the one that lets you earn “money beyond your capability.”
Because losses make people more cautious.
Extreme profits, on the other hand, are what most easily create illusions.
After a few times of “all-in” making money, you think you’ve figured it out.
The market usually teaches you with the very next bout of volatility:
You didn’t “figure it out”—you were just not harvested yet.
7. True freedom isn’t buying whenever you want, and selling whenever you want.
It’s this:
Even though you want to trade, you can choose not to.
Only those who can control themselves truly possess trading freedom.
In the end, you’ll realize:
You think you’re studying the market.
Actually, the market is studying you.
Study your greed,
study your fear,
study your wishful thinking,
and study the moment you lose control.
《The Truth Behind 7 Counterintuitive Things in Trading》
Trading is one of the few professions in the world where cognition, human nature, and discipline are priced directly.
The market doesn’t care how hard you try.
If you pull all-nighters to review charts, you won’t make an extra cent.
If you study hundreds of indicators, it still won’t make the market more sympathetic to you.
The only language the market truly recognizes is your account balance.
So, here are some truly counterintuitive truths in trading:
1. The more you want to make money, the more likely you are to lose money.
Because the desire to profit will push you to trade;
trading impulse will push you to search for opportunities;
and the real opportunities—precisely—won’t show up every day.
2. The most important ability in trading isn’t judgment; it’s the willingness to give up.
Give up opportunities you don’t have conviction in,
let go of logic that has already become invalid,
and abandon the fantasy that says, “Just wait— it will come back.”
3. Experts aren’t more daring gamblers than ordinary people; they’re more daring at not gambling.
When others are fully loaded with positions, they can go to cash.
When others succumb to FOMO, they can wait.
When others go crazy, they start calculating risk instead.
4. A stop loss isn’t surrender—it’s refusing to let a mistake turn into a catastrophe.
What’s truly dangerous has never been the loss itself.
It’s when you lose 10% and start imagining you’ll break even;
when you lose 30% and begin praying for a rebound;
when you lose 50% and end up surviving on nothing but faith.
5. Win rate isn’t the thing you should chase the most.
Because a single fatal big loss can wipe out dozens of small wins.
What trading really competes on is:
How much you make when you’re right, and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
6. The most dangerous trade isn’t the one that loses money—it’s the one that lets you earn “money beyond your capability.”
Because losses make people more cautious.
Extreme profits, on the other hand, are what most easily create illusions.
After a few times of “all-in” making money, you think you’ve figured it out.
The market usually teaches you with the very next bout of volatility:
You didn’t “figure it out”—you were just not harvested yet.
7. True freedom isn’t buying whenever you want, and selling whenever you want.
It’s this:
Even though you want to trade, you can choose not to.
Only those who can control themselves truly possess trading freedom.
In the end, you’ll realize:
You think you’re studying the market.
Actually, the market is studying you.
Study your greed,
study your fear,
study your wishful thinking,
and study the moment you lose control.
Trading is one of the few professions in the world where cognition, human nature, and discipline are priced directly.
The market doesn’t care how hard you try.
If you pull all-nighters to review charts, you won’t make an extra cent.
If you study hundreds of indicators, it still won’t make the market more sympathetic to you.
The only language the market truly recognizes is your account balance.
So, here are some truly counterintuitive truths in trading:
1. The more you want to make money, the more likely you are to lose money.
Because the desire to profit will push you to trade;
trading impulse will push you to search for opportunities;
and the real opportunities—precisely—won’t show up every day.
2. The most important ability in trading isn’t judgment; it’s the willingness to give up.
Give up opportunities you don’t have conviction in,
let go of logic that has already become invalid,
and abandon the fantasy that says, “Just wait— it will come back.”
3. Experts aren’t more daring gamblers than ordinary people; they’re more daring at not gambling.
When others are fully loaded with positions, they can go to cash.
When others succumb to FOMO, they can wait.
When others go crazy, they start calculating risk instead.
4. A stop loss isn’t surrender—it’s refusing to let a mistake turn into a catastrophe.
What’s truly dangerous has never been the loss itself.
It’s when you lose 10% and start imagining you’ll break even;
when you lose 30% and begin praying for a rebound;
when you lose 50% and end up surviving on nothing but faith.
5. Win rate isn’t the thing you should chase the most.
Because a single fatal big loss can wipe out dozens of small wins.
What trading really competes on is:
How much you make when you’re right, and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
6. The most dangerous trade isn’t the one that loses money—it’s the one that lets you earn “money beyond your capability.”
Because losses make people more cautious.
Extreme profits, on the other hand, are what most easily create illusions.
After a few times of “all-in” making money, you think you’ve figured it out.
The market usually teaches you with the very next bout of volatility:
You didn’t “figure it out”—you were just not harvested yet.
7. True freedom isn’t buying whenever you want, and selling whenever you want.
It’s this:
Even though you want to trade, you can choose not to.
Only those who can control themselves truly possess trading freedom.
In the end, you’ll realize:
You think you’re studying the market.
Actually, the market is studying you.
Study your greed,
study your fear,
study your wishful thinking,
and study the moment you lose control.
2
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Jiayi Li
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I’m sharing with you a concrete method I used with my AI to help myself seize “bloody chips”
One of the hardest things in investing is to hold your nerve when the market is hot, and when things are bad, still have the money and the judgment to back yourself up—so you dare to buy.
In Buffett’s saying, “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” In terms of results, it means waiting for “bloody chips” and then striking—only when the risk-to-reward ratio becomes attractive enough, and with time acting as a multiplier, to achieve extraordinary outcomes.
Once it lands on you, the problem comes:
Is this really panic now? When an asset drops, is it being unfairly punished, or is there actually something wrong with it? If you buy, how much further decline can you withstand—and how long will you have to wait?
In Buffett’s saying, “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” In terms of results, it means waiting for “bloody chips” and then striking—only when the risk-to-reward ratio becomes attractive enough, and with time acting as a multiplier, to achieve extraordinary outcomes.
Once it lands on you, the problem comes:
Is this really panic now? When an asset drops, is it being unfairly punished, or is there actually something wrong with it? If you buy, how much further decline can you withstand—and how long will you have to wait?
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