【The dumbest mistake retail investors make: seeing a 97% drop and shouting “it’s zero,” seeing a 3% rise and chasing】

TRUMP is down 97% from its peak—once this number comes out, eight out of ten people will say, “This coin is finished.” But look closely: how long did that 97% drop take? Which part of the chart did it happen in? A lot of people don’t even check.

I made this mistake too.

At first I didn’t really care about TRUMP. I thought meme coins are driven by sentiment—there’s nothing much to analyze. But recently, two things made me start watching it more closely.

First, trading volume has spiked abnormally. The price hasn’t moved much, yet the volume is over 5% of market cap—this suggests there’s money quietly accumulating or distributing, though the direction is still unclear. I watched for two weeks, and buy-side flow really has been continuously coming in.

Second, Trump said he wants to roll out “AI Force” and won’t regulate the AI industry. This signal is interesting. Even though it has no direct relation to the coin TRUMP itself, it represents how the U.S. government is likely to treat AI next—at least in the short term, there won’t be suppression.

So the question is: what does this mean once it becomes real?

If AI regulation is loosened, the entire AI + Crypto narrative will be amplified. TRUMP, although it’s a meme coin, is strongly tied to Trump personally. That means once a policy tailwind hits, it may react faster than other coins. Can this actually get implemented? Does the business logic hold together?

Honestly, TRUMP doesn’t have real-world use cases. In essence, it’s driven by sentiment and news. So it’s only suitable for short-term trades or event-driven moves—not something you should hold long term as a value investment.

Right now it’s stuck at $ 2.08, with support at 1.96 and resistance at 2.17. I think if it can hold 1.96, there may be another wave of opportunity. But if it breaks below, then we’ll have to reassess.

What are you all watching? Have you noticed any signals I might have missed?