😳September 21 midday market outlook.😳
$BTC View:
The BTC keeps printing even higher highs on this next attempt—are we now preparing to break through the daily-level resistance at 82666, and get the “daily chart takes off” momentum? At the moment, be cautious about shorting; overall, it’s better to focus on longing on pullbacks, with shorts as a secondary strategy.
Looking at the spot circled in the white box on the left: do you definitely have classmates who shorted at that point? Yes—you could short there, because a top pattern appeared, and the white-box circled area corresponds to a bearish engulfing pattern. That indicates a pullback at the current level is needed.
Whether you shorted when the top pattern formed, or you shorted on the breakdown of 80840, it’s fine. But when BTC fell to 80084, the red arrow’s indicated downside repeatedly failed to go lower—then you should have asked yourself ❓ Why couldn’t it drop further? Before 80840 broke, it acted as support. Once support was broken, it turned into resistance. Then BTC did a retracement and once again traded above the 80840 resistance. The 80840 resistance got broken again, and then another “support/resistance swap” happened.
At that moment, the short position you opened in the left white-box circled area should have been closed—you shouldn’t keep holding.
Because the fact that 80840’s support broke and then reclaimed indicates this pullback is already over and there is a rebound demand. Therefore, your short position must be exited. Also, the bigger background is still an uptrend and hasn’t been broken—this is position management.
When trading, never hold on to a position (don’t “carry” it). If you keep holding, you’ll miss a whole wave of market moves.
Right now, BTC has broken out of the triangle again, and after surpassing the 81725 resistance, it printed an even higher high. It’s currently retracing to the 80840 level at the upper boundary of the triangle. If the pullback does not drop back down and trade inside the triangle (below 80840), it won’t revisit the 80084 support area. Conversely, if it breaks upward and can hold above 81725, it will continue challenging the 82666 resistance.
No matter how BTC pulls back, as long as it doesn’t break the 80084–79224 support zone, it won’t go into a deep correction. Shorting can only profit from the pullback; don’t “hold the position” expecting further downside.

With volume breaking above 81624, the aggressive traders chasing long on the right side—go ahead. If BTC breaks down with volume below 80864 and then can’t reclaim it on the right side, the aggressive short is no good—prepare your stop loss.
On the hourly timeframe: once BTC breaks above and holds 81624, look for 82666–84010. If it can’t stay above 81624, it’s pointless.
On the 4-hour timeframe: if it breaks below 80864, look for 80128–79229.
Upper resistance: 81624–82666–84010
Lower support: 80864–80128–79229
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$BTC
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