Honestly,
I’m actually a bit panicky.
Woke up and got hit hard—shorting feels like being a dog.
It’s around 81,000 now. I don’t dare let you chase longs here. At this moment, it’s very easy to get a fake breakout.
Then it turns around and slaughters downward. Chasing high is also basically suicide.
Actually, the sentiment indicators are already around 70. Generally, when it’s 80, it’s a frenzy—madness and mania.
Right now it’s just the early stage of a bull move, like someone going crazy. If it keeps pumping, who wouldn’t end up mentally ill? Everyone thinks they’re picking up money where they stand, right?
I’m not a dead bear, either.
It’s just that on the daily chart I see a pullback—looking at the top region.
The larger cycle really has reversed.
Someone said, “You’re calling for a bull market.” I said, “This is just the bull market’s dick getting hard—it hasn’t reached the stage of peak, chaotic excitement yet.”
Recently I’ve also been busy. My health isn’t great, so I haven’t been going live. I mainly focus on taking care of the kids—feeding them, giving them baths, putting them to sleep, and spending a lot of time with them every day.
People who are married and have children can understand this.
Before, we used to look down a bit on those who weren’t married, the older single men and women.
But now I think, “Damn, why are their thoughts so cutting-edge, so rational?”
Only when you reach middle age do you feel that day by day there are fewer tomorrows.
Love yourself, take good care of yourself, and make life enjoyable. Whether you get married or not doesn’t really matter.
Plus now the economy is in a slump, jobs are hard to find. Even caring for yourself is difficult—let alone raising kids. It’s even harder.
My kids are many—although it brings happiness, it also leaves your neck all strained.
In the past I used to spend money without restraint. Now I’m researching how to spend 10 yuan in a way that lasts 3 days.
All year round, I don’t even buy myself new clothes or pants.
Probably men who raise kids end up like this.
Man, you don’t have a way out. You can only move forward. Your whole family depends on you to stand tall and make it happen—right?
From the current daily chart structure: for BTC, there’s a MACD golden cross and a refueling/in support pattern in the air, but the volume is relatively small. Breakouts are likely to be fake. Shorting near the previous high is not a problem.
I don’t suggest chasing to take big-trend long positions. A pullback can still be used to go long. The key support below—around 77,000.
On the 4-hour timeframe: short at 81,700, add to the position at 82,300, stop loss at 83,000. Target is around 75,000.
On the weekly timeframe: the candles show a ranging/sideways market. The big structure is bullish, and pullbacks can be used to go long. The MACD golden cross is trending upward, and there is also a need for further consolidation and rebound.
I’m actually bullish.
Why do I keep shouting about shorts?
One word: SB.$BTC
I’m actually a bit panicky.
Woke up and got hit hard—shorting feels like being a dog.
It’s around 81,000 now. I don’t dare let you chase longs here. At this moment, it’s very easy to get a fake breakout.
Then it turns around and slaughters downward. Chasing high is also basically suicide.
Actually, the sentiment indicators are already around 70. Generally, when it’s 80, it’s a frenzy—madness and mania.
Right now it’s just the early stage of a bull move, like someone going crazy. If it keeps pumping, who wouldn’t end up mentally ill? Everyone thinks they’re picking up money where they stand, right?
I’m not a dead bear, either.
It’s just that on the daily chart I see a pullback—looking at the top region.
The larger cycle really has reversed.
Someone said, “You’re calling for a bull market.” I said, “This is just the bull market’s dick getting hard—it hasn’t reached the stage of peak, chaotic excitement yet.”
Recently I’ve also been busy. My health isn’t great, so I haven’t been going live. I mainly focus on taking care of the kids—feeding them, giving them baths, putting them to sleep, and spending a lot of time with them every day.
People who are married and have children can understand this.
Before, we used to look down a bit on those who weren’t married, the older single men and women.
But now I think, “Damn, why are their thoughts so cutting-edge, so rational?”
Only when you reach middle age do you feel that day by day there are fewer tomorrows.
Love yourself, take good care of yourself, and make life enjoyable. Whether you get married or not doesn’t really matter.
Plus now the economy is in a slump, jobs are hard to find. Even caring for yourself is difficult—let alone raising kids. It’s even harder.
My kids are many—although it brings happiness, it also leaves your neck all strained.
In the past I used to spend money without restraint. Now I’m researching how to spend 10 yuan in a way that lasts 3 days.
All year round, I don’t even buy myself new clothes or pants.
Probably men who raise kids end up like this.
Man, you don’t have a way out. You can only move forward. Your whole family depends on you to stand tall and make it happen—right?
From the current daily chart structure: for BTC, there’s a MACD golden cross and a refueling/in support pattern in the air, but the volume is relatively small. Breakouts are likely to be fake. Shorting near the previous high is not a problem.
I don’t suggest chasing to take big-trend long positions. A pullback can still be used to go long. The key support below—around 77,000.
On the 4-hour timeframe: short at 81,700, add to the position at 82,300, stop loss at 83,000. Target is around 75,000.
On the weekly timeframe: the candles show a ranging/sideways market. The big structure is bullish, and pullbacks can be used to go long. The MACD golden cross is trending upward, and there is also a need for further consolidation and rebound.
I’m actually bullish.
Why do I keep shouting about shorts?
One word: SB.$BTC
