Jiahao’s Monday Insights Sharing
Last week is over. In this new week, we adjust our mindset and set out again. Whether last week was about keeping in sync with the pace, or whether you built your own plan and are currently floating in losses, you still need to rally your spirits, stabilize your rhythm. This circle has never been short of opportunities. Brothers who currently hold empty shorts also don’t need to be anxious. In my view, the market thesis remains unchanged—pullbacks are only a matter of time.
Market recap at midnight: For BTC, the overall price action has been undergoing narrow-range consolidation around the 80,500—81,500 zone. Bulls and bears repeatedly tug-of-war; price has tested the upper edge multiple times but failed to hold above it. The pullback hasn’t yet broken below the lower edge. Overall, it is still mainly range-bound consolidation. For ETH, it has been stuck in a back-and-forth battle between the 2,600—2,650 range. Short-term volatility is fairly fast, but a clear directional trend hasn’t fully taken shape yet.
On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC has shown a rebound from low-level momentum. The price is probing the upper band of the Bollinger Bands—this is a secondary bearish pullback/turn in the broader downtrend.
Although the AO momentum indicator is rising quickly, signs of divergence between momentum and price/volume are already apparent. This impulse-style up move hasn’t received effective follow-through from incremental capital. Overhead supply from the trapped-chip peak near the upper band, together with the upper band of Bollinger Bands, forms a double-resistance confluence. What we’re seeing in this “repair” is more of a liquidity/sentiment-driven bear-market squeeze诱多 rather than a genuine trend reversal.
Meanwhile, floating profit positions continue to accumulate. Once upward momentum fades, the selling pressure from earlier profit-taking will likely release in a concentrated way.
In terms of execution: remember, don’t blindly chase bullish moves. Wait patiently for confirmation of market pressure signals, then look for a tactical setup to short the rebound.
Trading plan:
BTC: Short around 82,000—82,500. Target 80,500. If it breaks out further, continue to look lower toward 79,500.
ETH: Short around 2,700—2,730. Target 2,600. If it breaks out further, continue to look lower toward 2,520.
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #巴菲特卸任伯克希尔董事长 $NVDAB $AAPLB $BTC
Last week is over. In this new week, we adjust our mindset and set out again. Whether last week was about keeping in sync with the pace, or whether you built your own plan and are currently floating in losses, you still need to rally your spirits, stabilize your rhythm. This circle has never been short of opportunities. Brothers who currently hold empty shorts also don’t need to be anxious. In my view, the market thesis remains unchanged—pullbacks are only a matter of time.
Market recap at midnight: For BTC, the overall price action has been undergoing narrow-range consolidation around the 80,500—81,500 zone. Bulls and bears repeatedly tug-of-war; price has tested the upper edge multiple times but failed to hold above it. The pullback hasn’t yet broken below the lower edge. Overall, it is still mainly range-bound consolidation. For ETH, it has been stuck in a back-and-forth battle between the 2,600—2,650 range. Short-term volatility is fairly fast, but a clear directional trend hasn’t fully taken shape yet.
On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC has shown a rebound from low-level momentum. The price is probing the upper band of the Bollinger Bands—this is a secondary bearish pullback/turn in the broader downtrend.
Although the AO momentum indicator is rising quickly, signs of divergence between momentum and price/volume are already apparent. This impulse-style up move hasn’t received effective follow-through from incremental capital. Overhead supply from the trapped-chip peak near the upper band, together with the upper band of Bollinger Bands, forms a double-resistance confluence. What we’re seeing in this “repair” is more of a liquidity/sentiment-driven bear-market squeeze诱多 rather than a genuine trend reversal.
Meanwhile, floating profit positions continue to accumulate. Once upward momentum fades, the selling pressure from earlier profit-taking will likely release in a concentrated way.
In terms of execution: remember, don’t blindly chase bullish moves. Wait patiently for confirmation of market pressure signals, then look for a tactical setup to short the rebound.
Trading plan:
BTC: Short around 82,000—82,500. Target 80,500. If it breaks out further, continue to look lower toward 79,500.
ETH: Short around 2,700—2,730. Target 2,600. If it breaks out further, continue to look lower toward 2,520.
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #巴菲特卸任伯克希尔董事长 $NVDAB $AAPLB $BTC
