They say that on October 12th,
this is the starting signal for this bull market, and also the lowest point for this bear market—don’t know if that’s true or not?
From August to September, a single big bullish candle—straight-up stunned most of the “wooden boat” believers and old bagholders.
Everyone was waiting to buy the dip at 48K,
but the dog-shit market makers wouldn’t give a chance. They went V-shaped up, and 90% of the retail traders missed it.
Now we’re near the previous high around 83,000 again. If it breaks out with volume, then you really won’t see BTC below 6.
So sad—I missed it too.
At the moment, the chart looks like a high-range consolidation: small candles, a doji. Bulls and bears are still fairly evenly matched, or at least it feels that way.
But in terms of the cycle, the halving won’t be until May 2028. If we jump straight to 100K now, it’ll be too hard to manage later.
MicroStrategy makes too much money, and the dog-shit market makers don’t want it either.
Personally, I think near 83,000 is a good spot to short, but the volume is still lacking at these levels.
As for ETH, it’s stronger. You could short at the current price, but you must set a stop-loss at 2,700—if it breaks, get out at 3,000.
CL has been consolidating around 100 for several days. I lost terribly on my rebound trade; my short is at 93.5—I’ve just been holding it the whole time, and I really haven’t left. Oil prices are high, and Trump is panicking—midterm elections are coming up soon.
PAXG: go long in the 4,300–4,200 range. Start at the current price—I've been calling this for weeks.
US stocks: SNDK. As I said, this is the third attempt to push through 1,830. Usually after three tries it’s easy to break. If you’re shorting, don’t put on that stop-loss—without one you’re asking for a huge loss.
AAPL: the good news has already been priced in. Shorts around 335—I think you can hold those for a bit.
ZEC: this one… finally no one dares to call for downside, and no one dares to short it. Looking at the candlestick pattern, I’m afraid it still has to surge toward 1,650. The last time was the same pattern: it surged first, and only then started to pull back.
Yesterday I bought 100U spot altcoins.
They say there’ll be a chance to rise 100x later. It’s true—once I bought, I just forgot about it. Maybe in 2029 there really will be a surprise.
In the last bull market, I got greedy and held onto one coin and made 1 million. I didn’t sell. Later it fell back to 30K and I finally exited.
Thinking about it hurts like a TMD, and every time I’d curse myself as an SB.
Sigh… making money is all about fate, right? $BTC