Three Unsolved Mysteries in Crypto:
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto?
Will it go up or down tomorrow?
Is this really a bull market right now?
I won’t be able to answer the first two—today I’ll teach you the third one for free.
10 questions—once you answer them, you’ll know:
1. Has BTC broken above the 200-day moving average? — It has.
(Like the weather warming up—you can take off the quilted jacket.)
2. Has the short-term moving average crossed above the long-term one? — It has.
(Traders of the short-term crowd are more bullish than long-term holders—that’s a good sign.)
3. Is only BTC rising, or is everyone rising? — Everyone’s rising.
(Out of 95 coins, 70 are up—this isn’t a one-man show.)
4. Are there coins making new highs? — Basically none.
(Out of 95 coins, only 5 are near prior highs; most are still climbing.)
5. Has BTC made a new all-time high? — No.
(It’s still 36% away from the peak—far from it.)
6. Is ETH stronger than BTC? — It’s gotten stronger; over 90 days it’s up 18%.
(The “second-in-command” starts flexing, and then the little ones finally get some meat.)
7. Is the money still concentrated in BTC? — Yes, 59%.
(Everyone is still holding what they consider the safest—this indicates we’re not at the crazy stage yet.)
8. Has the amount of money on-chain increased? — Yes; up 29% over 90 days.
(Water in the pond is rising.)
9. Is new money coming in from outside? — No.
(The total supply of stablecoins hasn’t moved over 90 days—people are still waiting at the door.)
10. Is leverage going out of control? — No; it’s actually quite healthy.
(Fewer people are borrowing money to trade crypto, which suggests the bubble isn’t big yet.)
Right now, those rushing in are betting on finishing early;
those waiting until conditions 4, 7, 9 are also green before acting are buying certainty.
The Fear & Greed Index is already 71—most indicators are still halfway up the mountain, but sentiment has already reached the summit.
Remember one line: In a bull market, the 5 most expensive words are — “I feel like it’s going to rise.”
Wait until one day all 10 conditions are green—then you won’t need anyone to tell you the bull market is here; your charts will raise their hands first.
Comment section score reporting: Count how many are green—my guess is most people are counting emotion, not indicators. 😏
$BTC $ETH $SOL #牛市
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto?
Will it go up or down tomorrow?
Is this really a bull market right now?
I won’t be able to answer the first two—today I’ll teach you the third one for free.
10 questions—once you answer them, you’ll know:
1. Has BTC broken above the 200-day moving average? — It has.
(Like the weather warming up—you can take off the quilted jacket.)
2. Has the short-term moving average crossed above the long-term one? — It has.
(Traders of the short-term crowd are more bullish than long-term holders—that’s a good sign.)
3. Is only BTC rising, or is everyone rising? — Everyone’s rising.
(Out of 95 coins, 70 are up—this isn’t a one-man show.)
4. Are there coins making new highs? — Basically none.
(Out of 95 coins, only 5 are near prior highs; most are still climbing.)
5. Has BTC made a new all-time high? — No.
(It’s still 36% away from the peak—far from it.)
6. Is ETH stronger than BTC? — It’s gotten stronger; over 90 days it’s up 18%.
(The “second-in-command” starts flexing, and then the little ones finally get some meat.)
7. Is the money still concentrated in BTC? — Yes, 59%.
(Everyone is still holding what they consider the safest—this indicates we’re not at the crazy stage yet.)
8. Has the amount of money on-chain increased? — Yes; up 29% over 90 days.
(Water in the pond is rising.)
9. Is new money coming in from outside? — No.
(The total supply of stablecoins hasn’t moved over 90 days—people are still waiting at the door.)
10. Is leverage going out of control? — No; it’s actually quite healthy.
(Fewer people are borrowing money to trade crypto, which suggests the bubble isn’t big yet.)
Right now, those rushing in are betting on finishing early;
those waiting until conditions 4, 7, 9 are also green before acting are buying certainty.
The Fear & Greed Index is already 71—most indicators are still halfway up the mountain, but sentiment has already reached the summit.
Remember one line: In a bull market, the 5 most expensive words are — “I feel like it’s going to rise.”
Wait until one day all 10 conditions are green—then you won’t need anyone to tell you the bull market is here; your charts will raise their hands first.
Comment section score reporting: Count how many are green—my guess is most people are counting emotion, not indicators. 😏
$BTC $ETH $SOL #牛市
