$INTCB #INTC Can this market move continue? It doesn’t depend on how much it has already risen, but on whether the trend can complete “advance, consolidate, and then reconfirm.” Currently, in the last 1 hour: +0.28%; in the last 24 hours: +1.47%.
Currently, the last 1 hour is +0.28% and the last 24 hours are +1.47%, and the two timeframes have not formed sufficiently clear directional alignment. In a range-bound market, the tolerance for chasing or selling impulsively is low. It’s more suitable to confirm the direction by the upper boundary, and confirm the rebound/continuation by the lower boundary. The middle axis should only serve as the line between relative strength and weakness.
The first condition for a continuation structure is that 109.795 is not effectively broken down. The second condition is that price can retest and hold above 110.89. If, after the advance, price stays below the middle axis for a long time, it indicates that active buy pressure is weakening. If it further breaks below 108.7, the original continuation assumption needs to be canceled.
There are three ways to handle the next path. First: if price effectively holds above 110.89, wait for a pullback that doesn’t break and then reassess the continuation. Second: if it breaks down below 108.7, prioritize risk control and wait for new support. Third: if it continues to oscillate around 109.795, treat it as range rotation/turnover and don’t repeatedly chase direction from the middle area.
Position management must distinguish between swing/medium-term and short-term trades. For existing medium-term positions, first check whether the structure is broken—you shouldn’t be repeatedly swayed by a single 1-hour candlestick. Short-term positions should be executed around support, resistance, and close confirmation. Those who are currently in cash don’t need to chase price in the middle of the range; waiting for a clearer location usually offers an advantage.
For short-term positions, the focus isn’t to predict every single candlestick. The key is to ensure that entering, reducing, and exiting all have a basis. If there’s no confirmation, do less. If a key level fails, redo the plan. Control single-trade risk first, then discuss the room for further movement.
#BOJRaisesRatesTo31YearHigh
Currently, the last 1 hour is +0.28% and the last 24 hours are +1.47%, and the two timeframes have not formed sufficiently clear directional alignment. In a range-bound market, the tolerance for chasing or selling impulsively is low. It’s more suitable to confirm the direction by the upper boundary, and confirm the rebound/continuation by the lower boundary. The middle axis should only serve as the line between relative strength and weakness.
The first condition for a continuation structure is that 109.795 is not effectively broken down. The second condition is that price can retest and hold above 110.89. If, after the advance, price stays below the middle axis for a long time, it indicates that active buy pressure is weakening. If it further breaks below 108.7, the original continuation assumption needs to be canceled.
There are three ways to handle the next path. First: if price effectively holds above 110.89, wait for a pullback that doesn’t break and then reassess the continuation. Second: if it breaks down below 108.7, prioritize risk control and wait for new support. Third: if it continues to oscillate around 109.795, treat it as range rotation/turnover and don’t repeatedly chase direction from the middle area.
Position management must distinguish between swing/medium-term and short-term trades. For existing medium-term positions, first check whether the structure is broken—you shouldn’t be repeatedly swayed by a single 1-hour candlestick. Short-term positions should be executed around support, resistance, and close confirmation. Those who are currently in cash don’t need to chase price in the middle of the range; waiting for a clearer location usually offers an advantage.
For short-term positions, the focus isn’t to predict every single candlestick. The key is to ensure that entering, reducing, and exiting all have a basis. If there’s no confirmation, do less. If a key level fails, redo the plan. Control single-trade risk first, then discuss the room for further movement.
#BOJRaisesRatesTo31YearHigh
