Next week (9.21-9.25) Yang Fan’s big-pie (BTC) thesis in terms of the ETH roadmap
This week, the CLARITY bill was rejected, a rate hike was implemented, and ETF outflows happened briefly. With three “bombs” dropping at once, the big pie was nevertheless pulled back from below 76,000 to around 82,000. On Friday alone, BTC ETFs saw a net inflow of 433 million, indicating short-term capital returning. The “bad news is already out” flavor is starting to show.
But next week, two variables are even more critical: a concentrated slate of speeches by Fed officials (9.21-9.23). Any hawkish wording could suppress the rebound; and the PCE data on September 30 is the next major volatility window. For the entire week, the net inflow into BTC ETFs was only 6.2 million—sentiment is still wavering.
Now look at the chart: the big pie surged to 82,000 but didn’t break through effectively, then pulled back to around 80,000, while ETH has been trading around 2,580. The key weekly resistance above is 82,800. The core support below is 79,000-80,000.
Trading references
BTC: For rallies, consider opening short positions in batches within the 81,500-82,500 range. Defend at 83,200. Targets: 80,000-79,000. If it breaks down, look for 77,500-76,000.
ETH: For rallies, consider opening short positions in batches within the 2,600-2,680 range. Defend at 2,720. Targets: 2,530-2,480. If it breaks down, look for 2,420-2,380.
Rebounds are the best time to look for short entries (sell points). As long as resistance above hasn’t been broken, don’t chase longs or bet on a reversal.
$BTC $ETH #日本央行加息至31年高位
This week, the CLARITY bill was rejected, a rate hike was implemented, and ETF outflows happened briefly. With three “bombs” dropping at once, the big pie was nevertheless pulled back from below 76,000 to around 82,000. On Friday alone, BTC ETFs saw a net inflow of 433 million, indicating short-term capital returning. The “bad news is already out” flavor is starting to show.
But next week, two variables are even more critical: a concentrated slate of speeches by Fed officials (9.21-9.23). Any hawkish wording could suppress the rebound; and the PCE data on September 30 is the next major volatility window. For the entire week, the net inflow into BTC ETFs was only 6.2 million—sentiment is still wavering.
Now look at the chart: the big pie surged to 82,000 but didn’t break through effectively, then pulled back to around 80,000, while ETH has been trading around 2,580. The key weekly resistance above is 82,800. The core support below is 79,000-80,000.
Trading references
BTC: For rallies, consider opening short positions in batches within the 81,500-82,500 range. Defend at 83,200. Targets: 80,000-79,000. If it breaks down, look for 77,500-76,000.
ETH: For rallies, consider opening short positions in batches within the 2,600-2,680 range. Defend at 2,720. Targets: 2,530-2,480. If it breaks down, look for 2,420-2,380.
Rebounds are the best time to look for short entries (sell points). As long as resistance above hasn’t been broken, don’t chase longs or bet on a reversal.
$BTC $ETH #日本央行加息至31年高位
