A bull market confirmation requires at least three things to be seen at the same time: the close stays continuously above 80,000 and breaks through the 82,300-month high; spot ETFs shift from returning flows to sustained net buying; and the altcoin rally expands from a few main themes into broader participation, rather than being only driven by ZEC and a small handful of DeFi. Right now, only half of the first condition is met. If 80,000 is lost, this move should still be treated like the roller coaster after a short squeeze; only by holding 81,000 and breaking above 82,300 with increased volume can we talk about an upgrade in trend repair.