$BTC ♟️ After the rate hike lands, the BTC reaction is worth revisiting.
📆 In the early hours of September 17 Beijing time, the Fed announced a 25-basis-point rate increase, raising the interest-rate range to 3.75%—4%. Policy is tight, but BTC subsequently moved back above 81,000. I’d rather study how to go long on pullbacks; you can’t rely on just one macro headline. We need several consecutive days for price to decide direction.
🧮 However, the immediate buying pressure hasn’t recovered yet. From 09:00 to 10:00, the主动买量 (active buy volume) is only about 0.58x the sell volume, and the 4-hour RSI is still near 72.8. The larger timeframe is strong, while the smaller timeframe is in ebbing mode—this is suitable for picking entries, not for chasing the rebound and paying a premium.
↗️ Left-side long zones: 80,820—80,900
Support: 80,803—80,923 / 80,532
Resistance: 81,341—81,403 / 81,934
Hard stop-loss at entry price: 80,680
First partial take-profit: 81,340; second target: 81,880
The first tier of support comes from a confluence of yesterday’s 80,802.60 and today’s early-morning lows at 80,875 and 80,923. Once price reaches the zone, you should see a completed 15-minute K-line: a lower-low test that closes bullish, with active buy volume exceeding sell volume, and volume no less than the average of the prior 20 candles; only then should you consider it if the close remains inside the long zone.
⏸️ If the hourly close before entry is already below 80,802.60, this trade is canceled. 80,680 is a stop-loss buffer reserved outside the support, not the historical lowest price. Weekend liquidity is thin; the main risk to guard against is that a second pullback turns directly into a breakdown.
📆 In the early hours of September 17 Beijing time, the Fed announced a 25-basis-point rate increase, raising the interest-rate range to 3.75%—4%. Policy is tight, but BTC subsequently moved back above 81,000. I’d rather study how to go long on pullbacks; you can’t rely on just one macro headline. We need several consecutive days for price to decide direction.
🧮 However, the immediate buying pressure hasn’t recovered yet. From 09:00 to 10:00, the主动买量 (active buy volume) is only about 0.58x the sell volume, and the 4-hour RSI is still near 72.8. The larger timeframe is strong, while the smaller timeframe is in ebbing mode—this is suitable for picking entries, not for chasing the rebound and paying a premium.
↗️ Left-side long zones: 80,820—80,900
Support: 80,803—80,923 / 80,532
Resistance: 81,341—81,403 / 81,934
Hard stop-loss at entry price: 80,680
First partial take-profit: 81,340; second target: 81,880
The first tier of support comes from a confluence of yesterday’s 80,802.60 and today’s early-morning lows at 80,875 and 80,923. Once price reaches the zone, you should see a completed 15-minute K-line: a lower-low test that closes bullish, with active buy volume exceeding sell volume, and volume no less than the average of the prior 20 candles; only then should you consider it if the close remains inside the long zone.
⏸️ If the hourly close before entry is already below 80,802.60, this trade is canceled. 80,680 is a stop-loss buffer reserved outside the support, not the historical lowest price. Weekend liquidity is thin; the main risk to guard against is that a second pullback turns directly into a breakdown.