Trends, earnings reports, and technical analysis—let’s talk about them separately today.
GOOGL’s buzz is back up again, so let’s follow that thread for a few minutes.
Lately, the US stock market has been moving on a fairly tight schedule—let’s go through it one by one.
1. Among the “Big Tech Seven,” as long as two companies simultaneously cut capex, the AI narrative shifts from a peak to a digestion phase.
2. The fiscal deficit and Treasury supply are slow-moving variables, but whenever subscriptions at auctions are weak, US bond yields will jump first.
3. As the US Treasury yield curve steepens, the spread between the 2-year and 10-year terms widens. That corresponds to both recession expectations and rate-cut expectations rising at the same time.
Over there in the US stock market, the pacing directly affects sentiment at crypto market open. In crypto, reaction typically lags the US market by 4–8 hours. The key is the volume on the very first 1-hour (1h) candlestick after the open.
A simple “copy-the-read” for crypto: BTC 81084 (-0.23%), ETH 2619. BTC is running stronger on its own, but the altcoins aren’t moving. That suggests capital is contracting—not adding as a new incremental inflow.
You may consider reducing your position in batches, keeping your risk exposure within no more than 1.5 times your account equity.
Over the next week, which event are you most focused on?
#美股 #BTC #Trading Observations
For personal observations only and does not constitute investment advice.
GOOGL’s buzz is back up again, so let’s follow that thread for a few minutes.
Lately, the US stock market has been moving on a fairly tight schedule—let’s go through it one by one.
1. Among the “Big Tech Seven,” as long as two companies simultaneously cut capex, the AI narrative shifts from a peak to a digestion phase.
2. The fiscal deficit and Treasury supply are slow-moving variables, but whenever subscriptions at auctions are weak, US bond yields will jump first.
3. As the US Treasury yield curve steepens, the spread between the 2-year and 10-year terms widens. That corresponds to both recession expectations and rate-cut expectations rising at the same time.
Over there in the US stock market, the pacing directly affects sentiment at crypto market open. In crypto, reaction typically lags the US market by 4–8 hours. The key is the volume on the very first 1-hour (1h) candlestick after the open.
A simple “copy-the-read” for crypto: BTC 81084 (-0.23%), ETH 2619. BTC is running stronger on its own, but the altcoins aren’t moving. That suggests capital is contracting—not adding as a new incremental inflow.
You may consider reducing your position in batches, keeping your risk exposure within no more than 1.5 times your account equity.
Over the next week, which event are you most focused on?
#美股 #BTC #Trading Observations
For personal observations only and does not constitute investment advice.