#BTC - Battlefield analysis - After successfully crossing the Yangtze River from the southern side, the Long army seized Jiangling City and consolidated a solid position on the north bank of the Yangtze River (the W frame has already moved above the EMA 200, EMA 99, and EMA 25). They are currently attacking Xiangyang City (the previous top fail was 82.8k).

Unlike the previous time, after proceeding to launch an attack on the court of Chao in the 126k zone, the Long army—sapped of strength and resources—suffered consecutive defeats. It lost 50% of its strongholds (~fibo 50% retracement) and was pushed back all the way to the 59.8k zone. After that, the Long army gathered the remnants, reinforced its forces, and successively recaptured the cities, crossing the Yangtze River. They assaulted Xiangyang City for the first time, but due to their thin ranks and the enemy’s tall walls and deep moat, the S army was extremely fierce. The Long army was pushed back after only 5 days, repelled toward the south bank of the Yangtze River, and driven even further south to the 57.7k zone.

Victory without arrogance, defeat without discouragement. The Long army built a large force in the 60k -67k area. Before successfully crossing the Yangtze River again for the second time, it bordered the Tương Dương region from the previous encounter. This time, the Long army didn’t charge aggressively in a relentless barrage; instead, they set up camp about 60 li (82.2k vs the old peak 82.8k) away. The siege operations, day after day, have been going on for the past 30 days, with the battlefield zone stretching from 74.9k to 82.2k.

With this momentum, whether the second assault on the Tương Dương city will succeed depends on the next 7 days. Why is this stronghold so important? Because it’s the Central Plains region (50% of the rebound wave from the bottom). If it succeeds in breaking above 82.8k, then from the contested resistance zone it will turn into a solid rear base (\u003ct-49/\u003e that has already surpassed the prior assault peak in the 110 to 114 area) \u003ct-51/\u003e the session also “threw stones to test the road,” breaking above the short-term peak 2666 to 2669 before returning to continue shaking out. The road to the capital Luòyáng and Xu Chāng (old peak 126k) will be opened wide. Let’s wait and see!

Hunter’s Scenario: Scenario: Buy Zone (Demand Zone): 79,300 – 80,500

Stop Loss: 77.400

Take Profit (TP): TP1: 82.200 | TP2: 83.500 | TP3: 85.000.

P/s - Disclaimer: The assessment is for educational purposes only, a self-experiment, not investment advice. Manage risk and maintain discipline with your own capital!