๐ MARKET BRIEF SEPTEMBER 19 Risk assets are showing strength, but one major macro risk remains: US 10Y near 5%. โฟ #Bitcoin breaks $80K BTC climbed above $81K, finally clearing the key $80K level weโve been watching. Holding $80K could turn former resistance into support. But confirmation would be stronger if Treasury yields start falling again. September 18 close: โข Nasdaq +0.39% โข S&P 500 +0.17% โข Dow โ0.18% Tech continues to outperform despite expensive capital. ๐ฆ Tokenization moves forward A new US regulatory framework for tokenized securities could accelerate the convergence between traditional markets and blockchain. TradFi โ Tokenization โ On-chain markets โ RWA ๐จ๐ณ USโChina talks Ahead of the TrumpโXi meeting on September 24, Washington and Beijing are discussing trade, LNG, AI and rare earths. Any meaningful de-escalation could reduce geopolitical risk premiums. ๐ค AI infrastructure test Nvidia-backed Nscale filed for a US IPO after H1 revenue surged 1,252% YoY to $140.6M. But net losses reached $1.02B. It perfectly captures the AI infrastructure boom: Massive demand + massive capital requirements. ๐ฏ What matters now $BTC >$80K ๐ข Nasdaq โ ๐ข US 10Y โ5% ๐ก Oil โ$100+ ๐ก The key conflict: BTC and tech are showing strength while the cost of capital remains extremely high. If #BTC holds $80K and US 10Y moves below 5%, the risk-on setup becomes much stronger. WhyNot Research #BTC Price Analysis#
