🚨 #011 — BTC recovers US$80,000: buy now or wait for confirmation?
$BTC acaba de recuperar los US$80.000 y it reached approximately US$80,600–80,700 after falling below US$75,000 this week.
The important thing is the context.
Bitcoin absorbed:
• the Fed rate hike (Federal Reserve of the United States);
• the blocking of the CLARITY Act advance (a bill to set clearer rules for the US crypto market);
• and a macroeconomic environment that is still demanding.
In addition, Bitcoin spot ETFs (exchange-traded funds that hold direct exposure to BTC) once again received approximately US$160 million in net inflows after two straight trading sessions of outflows.
📌 Would you aggressively buy after this move?
No.
BTC has already risen more than 5%, and now I want to check whether the breakout is real.
🟢 Confirmation: holding above US$80,000 and clearly breaking above US$82,000 would strengthen the recovery.
🟠 Caution: quickly losing US$80,000 could indicate a false breakout (breaking an important level and then immediately falling back below).
🔴 Invalidation: returning below US$77,000—especially if it then loses US$75,000—would seriously worsen the recovery.
Also, part of the move was accompanied by closing short positions (bets that expected a drop), so I wouldn’t assume that the entire rise represents fresh demand.
The signal improved. Chasing the price is another thing.
I’d rather miss the first leg of a rally than buy just because a candle turned green.
🟠 FOLLOW-UP / OBSERVATION
Conviction: 94/100
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading
$BTC acaba de recuperar los US$80.000 y it reached approximately US$80,600–80,700 after falling below US$75,000 this week.
The important thing is the context.
Bitcoin absorbed:
• the Fed rate hike (Federal Reserve of the United States);
• the blocking of the CLARITY Act advance (a bill to set clearer rules for the US crypto market);
• and a macroeconomic environment that is still demanding.
In addition, Bitcoin spot ETFs (exchange-traded funds that hold direct exposure to BTC) once again received approximately US$160 million in net inflows after two straight trading sessions of outflows.
📌 Would you aggressively buy after this move?
No.
BTC has already risen more than 5%, and now I want to check whether the breakout is real.
🟢 Confirmation: holding above US$80,000 and clearly breaking above US$82,000 would strengthen the recovery.
🟠 Caution: quickly losing US$80,000 could indicate a false breakout (breaking an important level and then immediately falling back below).
🔴 Invalidation: returning below US$77,000—especially if it then loses US$75,000—would seriously worsen the recovery.
Also, part of the move was accompanied by closing short positions (bets that expected a drop), so I wouldn’t assume that the entire rise represents fresh demand.
The signal improved. Chasing the price is another thing.
I’d rather miss the first leg of a rally than buy just because a candle turned green.
🟠 FOLLOW-UP / OBSERVATION
Conviction: 94/100
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading