🟡 After the structure weakens, watch the risks first for the counter-rally.
$ETH 1H, in this round there is no official signal triggered.
Support has already been broken, and the structure is still being kept under pressure by the shorts.
Volume is 0.00x versus average volume; the bid/absorption looks almost nonexistent.
Momentum is moving sideways—neither expanding nor contracting.
We’re currently in the middle of the range; both bulls and bears are just bleeding time.
Right now the pace is not about direction—it’s about waiting for direction.
⚠️ If it pops up a little, treat it first as risk being released.
This is not a reversal, not a V-shape, and not a dip-buying signal.
Under a weak structure, a counter-rally is only changing the breath.
If it can’t hold, the previous swing low will likely need to be tested again.
🟠 Keep an eye on the high point of this counter-rally.
See whether it can stop/cap near the resistance level.
If it can’t, then the entire logic must be recalculated.
Until it breaks the previous low on increased volume, don’t guess direction.
⚠️ N.F.A. For reference only.👇️
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