It seems we’re in for a hot month for oil (and not only) 🛢️⚡️
​Saudi Arabia is stepping out for European refineries: according to the latest data, over the weekend they simply zeroed out supplies of crude oil for the next month. No compromises—just a freeze of volumes.
​What does this mean in practice?
​Inflation shock #2. Europe is entering another phase of raw-material shortages again. This automatically pushes up fuel prices, logistics costs, and consequently raises overall inflation.
​The Fed and central banks. In these conditions, regulators will have to forget about quick rate cuts. Tight monetary policy is being extended.
​Market reaction. When traditional markets are battered by energy shocks, capital starts looking for alternative scenarios. Crypto is currently entering a very interesting zone of heightened volatility.
​Right now, the main thing is to watch the opening of commodity futures and the reaction of the DXY.
​And what do you think—is this another short-term OPEC+ tactic of pressure, or the start of a new wave of a protracted crisis?
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