The lobster is still up +8.7% in the last 24 hours. Current price is 0.24172, but the alert is very clear: the original signal is invalid—goes to 0. This is already the 3rd time within 24 hours that the original signal has failed. The entry zone for the long that was triggered about 2.4 hours ago was 0.25894 to 0.26346. But the price has already fallen below that entry zone—meaning anyone who chased in has all been trapped.

It’s interesting to look at the disagreements in the discussion area. On the plaza, almost everyone is calling trades: go long at 0.25–0.26, target 0.27–0.30, with the rationale that over 5 consecutive days it was pumped from 110 million to 280 million, a 154% increase. But what the @Web3 koi journal pointed out is more worth looking at: the spot volume shrank from 10 million to 3 million, and the futures volume dropped from 190 million to 62 million. Volume is shrinking while the price is still being held up—this kind of structure is a textbook “pump and distribute.” The more people shouting trades, the more you should be wary.

Retail 24h long/short ratio is 3.5x—everyone is lifting the chair with longs. A few, like @Asma-Doll, are shorting at 0.252–0.255 and looking for 0.228. In a full screen of pump-chasing calls, this kind of contrarian view is actually more clear-headed. Social heat: BSQ 120. On X, there are 0 KOLs involved—it's all retail traders hyping themselves. This kind of “quality” of heat can’t support a big行情.

The idea is straightforward: don’t chase longs at the current price of 0.24172, and I don’t recommend shorting at the current price either. If you want to short, wait for a retrace into the 0.252–0.255 range to enter, set a stop loss above 0.258, and target 0.228. If you want to go long, you need to wait for the price to reclaim 0.25894 with volume—otherwise you’d just be catching a falling knife. For tickets where the signal has failed three times in a row, staying on the sidelines is more valuable than taking action.

This hard pull has already seen the capital exit—don’t be the last one holding the baton.

Quick data snapshot: Current price 0.24172 | 24h +8.7% | Retail long/short ratio 3.5× | Original signal failed for the 3rd time

That’s all for now—everyone, pay attention to risk.

—— 19:51 Order book notes