Level 1: First improve certainty. As for the odds—actually it’s what the market gives you.
When you buy in, you think it can be at most 5x. Later, capital, narratives, the market maker, and sentiment all form a combined force, and the market may naturally push it to 20x, 50x, or even 100x. For ordinary people, this isn’t something you can calculate just by imagining it before trading opens.
But certainty is something you can screen for yourself: Is there a market maker? Is the chip/tape structure clean? Is there capital willing to step in and push it up? Are there a bunch of homogeneous junk ahead that’s diverting flows?
In Level 1, don’t chase “critical hits” for huge upside from the very beginning. Instead, first reduce the probability that you end up buying into a zero-bound track. Once your principal is bigger, then use money that you won’t feel heartbroken about losing to go for the critical hit.
If you immediately lock onto, “This one is only 100K—if it goes to 10M that’s 100x,” it looks like the odds are massive, but you don’t think about why it even has the qualifications to reach 10M.
With a small principal, the reason you shouldn’t gamble on high odds isn’t that you can’t—rather, you should pursue certainty even more.
What small principals fear most isn’t earning slowly; it’s that before the truly big opportunity appears, your principal gets depleted by all those imagined zero-bound scenarios.
#跟着锦鲤学打百倍金狗 $币安人生
Follow the Web3 Koi Fish Diary—buy coins that can turn 10x
When you buy in, you think it can be at most 5x. Later, capital, narratives, the market maker, and sentiment all form a combined force, and the market may naturally push it to 20x, 50x, or even 100x. For ordinary people, this isn’t something you can calculate just by imagining it before trading opens.
But certainty is something you can screen for yourself: Is there a market maker? Is the chip/tape structure clean? Is there capital willing to step in and push it up? Are there a bunch of homogeneous junk ahead that’s diverting flows?
In Level 1, don’t chase “critical hits” for huge upside from the very beginning. Instead, first reduce the probability that you end up buying into a zero-bound track. Once your principal is bigger, then use money that you won’t feel heartbroken about losing to go for the critical hit.
If you immediately lock onto, “This one is only 100K—if it goes to 10M that’s 100x,” it looks like the odds are massive, but you don’t think about why it even has the qualifications to reach 10M.
With a small principal, the reason you shouldn’t gamble on high odds isn’t that you can’t—rather, you should pursue certainty even more.
What small principals fear most isn’t earning slowly; it’s that before the truly big opportunity appears, your principal gets depleted by all those imagined zero-bound scenarios.
#跟着锦鲤学打百倍金狗 $币安人生
Follow the Web3 Koi Fish Diary—buy coins that can turn 10x