$BTC Has Bitcoin got a major crash coming? Connection Capital founder warns: Bitcoin could pull back 50% in Q4 2026, falling to $30K–$40K According to Connection Capital founder and former research director for Coin Bureau, Dan Krupka, if Bitcoin rises to $96,000, it may face a significant correction in Q4 2026, with a pullback of as much as 50%—down to the $30,000 to $40,000 range. Krupka warns that although current technical indicators look strong, the underlying pattern is more like a “textbook relief rebound” rather than the start of a new bull market. He notes that Bitcoin’s total market capitalization is nearing the monthly Bollinger Band resistance level, which is typically used to distinguish between a distribution phase and a sustained bull-market trend. Meanwhile macro resistance is emerging: the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is nearing the monthly Bollinger Band resistance level, persistent energy shortages in Europe and Asia are keeping the euro and yen weak, driving global capital inflows into the dollar and potentially triggering a sell-off in risk assets.
$SAGA just went absolutely vertical up nearly 65% in a day, spiking from around 0.036 to a high of 0.09083 before cooling off to 0.07785. That's a massive breakout candle on huge volume (632M SAGA traded), so this is clearly news or hype driven not organic grind.
The catch: RSI is sitting at 84-90 deep in overbought territory, and price already pulled back hard from the spike high. That kind of parabolic move followed by a sharp wick down often means the initial pump is exhausted and you're now watching early buyers take profit. MACD is still turning up, so momentum hasn't fully died but chasing this after a 65% candle is high-risk a pullback to the 0.05-0.06 zone wouldn't be surprising.
Not financial advice, just reading the chart. $SAGA
$ONDO USDT Perp (4H) ONDO just ripped +25% on a monster volume candle, and honestly I'm not chasing this one. RSI(6) is at 83 and price is sitting right under the 0.5244 high, so a cooldown is very possible.
Plan: wait for a pullback into the 0.4763–0.4850 zone, then look for a Long once the 4H candle holds.
Targets: 0.5244, then 0.5500 Stop loss: below 0.4420
If 0.5244 breaks and closes above on volume, momentum entry is fair game with a tight stop. MACD just flipped bullish, so the trend is with us.
Honestly this looks like a bounce that ran out of steam. $ETH pushed up to 2,806, got rejected, then dumped hard on the big red 4h candle with the heaviest volume on the chart. The bounce after that was weak, and now it's chopping in small candles just under 2,688. MACD has crossed bearish (DIF 17 under DEA 33) and the red bars are widening, so momentum favors sellers.
Levels - Resistance: 2,688–2,700, then 2,760, then 2,806 - Support: 2,633, then 2,617, then 2,605
Signals
- Short: a rejection or 4h close back below 2,688 targets 2,633, then 2,617. Invalidation is above 2,725. - Long: a 4h close above 2,700 with real volume targets 2,760. Invalidation is back under 2,670.
- Bounce play:
a sweep of 2,633 that quickly reclaims it is a decent scalp long toward 2,688.
I wouldn't trade the middle of this range. Wait for price to reach a level and show you something. This is just chart reading not financial advice.
$NEAR massive rally but it's stretched thin This one's a real breakout price ripped from about 2.29 up to 3.43 in a couple days that's roughly +50%. But check the RSI: 97 on the 6-period and 88 on the 14-period. That's deep into overbought territory like about as extreme as RSI gets. Volume's also climbing alongside price, which confirms real interest not just a fakeout but parabolic moves like this with RSI pinned near 90-100 usually cool off or pull back before continuing they rarely just keep going vertical.
Honest take: the AVA short is a case of calling a top too early in a strong uptrend risky. The NEAR chart shows genuine momentum but is due for at least a breather given how overbought it is. Neither of these are financial advice just what the charts are actually saying worth doing your own risk management either way since crypto can obviously keep ripping past "overbought" for a while. #Market_Update #priceanalysis
BR just ripped from 0.206 to 0.714, printing a massive green volume candle that confirms real buying interest not just a wick. Current price 0.66 holding above the breakout zone.
Support zone: 👇👇
0.51– 0.55 (previous resistance flip) and stronger support at 0.40. If it loses 0.51 with volume expect a retest of 0.40.
Resistance/Sell zone: 👇👇
0.714 (recent high), then 0.739.
RSI(14) at 71 shows overbought momentum strong trend but stretched. MACD histogram is still expanding bullish no bearish divergence yet.
Bias: bullish while above 0.51 but chase with caution here.
$ETH 👇👇👇 ETH is trading at 2,512.23 down slightly (-0.34%) on the day but showing a sharp recovery bounce: price dropped hard from 2,520 to 2,462 (a flush) then rallied back strongly on the last two green candles. RSI(6) at 65.3 and RSI(14) at 55 are neutral-to-bullish not overbought there's still room to run before exhaustion.
MACD histogram just flipped positive with DIF crossing above DEA a fresh bullish momentum signal though it's early in that cross.
Buy zone:
2,490 –2,497 (retest of the breakout candle's base) offers better risk/reward than chasing here at 2,512.
Stop-loss:
below 2,472 (recent swing low). Target: 2,520–2,524 (24h high) as first resistance, with a break above opening room toward 2,530+.
Bias: Cautiously bullish short-term, but the sharp red candle earlier shows volatility size positions conservatively and respect the stop.
$ETH USDT this is technical observation not financial advice.
$FIL USDT is up 22.5% in 24h, breaking out from ~0.77 to a high of 1.0336, now consolidating near 0.9855. RSI(6) at 94.9 and RSI(14) at 83.2 signal strong overbought conditions a pullback or pause is likely before any further push. MACD remains bullish with rising histogram bars confirming momentum though it's extended.
Entry / man zone:
0.93–0.95 (the breakout candle's body) a retest here would offer better risk/reward than chasing at current price.
Huge move here price ripped from 0.5827 to 0.8413 in just two candles, backed by a massive volume spike (37M vs the 4-10M average). That's real strength not a fake wick.
♡ Key zones: Resistance: 0.8413 (24h high) a clean break above this with volume confirms continuation.
Support/retest zone:
0.7400 0.7973 if price pulls back, this is where buyers likely step in.
- Invalidation: below 0.6836 a close under this would flip the structure bearish again.
RSI(6) at 79.7 shows short-term overbought, so a cooldown or retest wouldn't be surprising before the next leg. MACD histogram just turned green supporting the bullish shift.
Bias: bullish above 0.74 watch for a pullback entry rather than chasing here.
⚠️ Not financial advice do your own risk management, this token just moved 25%+ in a day and is highly volatile. $UAI
■ Asset & Price Action: UAI/USDT perpetual contract on Binance is currently trading at $0.7711 (Rs213.80) showing a 24-hour gain of 4.41% with a 24-hour high of $0.8210 and a low of $0.6273.
■ Momentum Indicators (RSI & MACD): On the 1-hour chart the Relative Strength Index (RSI 14) sits at 55.02 reflecting neutral to bullish momentum without being overbought. The MACD shows DIF at 0.0173, DEA at 0.0163 and a positive MACD value of 0.0010 indicating mild bullish continuation.
■ Volume & Moving Averages:
Volume indicators show steady market participation while MA(5) at 2.92M and MA(10) at 2.73M support the current price consolidation near the upper range following the bounce from 0.6273.
■ Trading Bias: Maintain a cautious long bias while monitoring support around the $0.7455 level, with a potential target retesting the 24-hour high resistance at $0.8210. Always manage risk carefully with proper stop-losses.
Don't jump on every green candle. Scale in on retracements and let the trade breathe. If ZEC pulls back again I'll be adding gradually not panicking. Patience over FOMO. Manage your risk. DYOR. 👉 Trade $ZEC
Solana is currently trading at 105.42 and has shown a strong +2.97% upward move in the last 24h. It bounced from 102.11 and moved straight up to 107.07, then saw a slight pullback; this looks like healthy profit booking, not weakness.
RSI(6) is at 72.56, showing a short-term overbought zone, while RSI(14) is stable at 62.54, meaning the bigger trend is still bullish, with only some short-term cooling. MACD is also in positive territory (DIF 0.61, MACD 0.33), so momentum is on the buyers' side.
Volume has been a bit lower in the last candles, so entering fresh right away could be risky. If the 105 support holds, the next push toward 107+ is possible; otherwise, a retest of the 102-103 zone may happen.
That massive red candle wick down to 2,384 was likely a sharp liquidity sweep or a sudden flush of long positions. The fact that buyers stepped in immediately and managed to claw back up past 2,470 shows resilience but they are not out of the woods yet.
If you're looking at this chart:
Bullish view: The recovery bounce looks relatively healthy and if it can flip the mid 2,500s into support it could target that Supertrend line.
Bearish view: Until price breaks above the Supertrend at 2,530 and holds this whole up-move is just a relief bounce inside a larger corrective zone.
Are you currently holding a position on this move or looking for an entry? $ETH
ENA just had a monster move up 25% to 0.1854 bouncing hard off that 0.1349 low from a couple days ago. That's a textbook V shaped reversal after a grinding downtrend.
The volume tells the real story though: that huge green bar right as price broke out confirms this wasn't a fakeout real buying showed up. RSI(6) at 87 is screaming overbought short term RSI(14) at 74 backs that up so a pullback or consolidation here wouldn't be surprising at all. MACD just crossed bullish and the histogram's turning green which supports the move but it's fresh not mature.
Honestly, this looks like a strong momentum breakout that's due for a breather. Chasing it at 0.1854 is risky waiting for a pullback toward 0.165 0.170 for entry looks smarter than buying the top of this candle. $ENA
#dusk $DUSK @Dusk What caught my attention while going through Dusk's docs: only two contracts exist At genesis the stake contract and the transfer contract. Everything else including DuskVM and DuskEVM sits on top of them.
That's a strange amount of concentration for a chain built to settle regulated assets. So I wanted to check what these two actually do and whether they can be changed later.
The stake contract tracks provisioners who is staked how much when rewards mature when slashing applies. The transfer contract handles both public (Moonlight) and shielded (Phoenix) balances and it's the only place contract to contract fund movement actually happens. Every execution environment routes through it for settlement and data availability per current docs.
Why that matters: if you are building on DuskEVM or issuing assets through Dusk Trade, you are not just trusting your own contract logic. You are trusting that these two genesis contracts behave correctly indefinitely since they are the settlement substrate underneath everything else.
Here is what I couldn't pin down. Docs describe these contracts being refactored over time the staking contract was rebuilt to fix a storage issue and later engineering updates changed its Event structure. So they clearly aren't frozen in the immutable at genesis sense.
What's unclear to me is the actual upgrade path: is it discretionary (protocol team ships a network upgrade) or is there a formal on chain governance step that provisioners vote on before genesis contract logic changes? The docs I found describe what the contracts do, not how modifications to them get authorized.
For a chain positioning itself for institutional settlement that distinction team authorized upgrade vs. provisioner ratified upgrade seems like it should be documented explicitly somewhere.
Has anyone seen where @Dusk specifies the actual Authorization process for genesis contract changes?
#dusk $DUSK @Dusk What caught my attention was not Dusk's compliance messaging it's what an independent audit firm found sitting inside dusk plonk the proof system securing Phoenix @Dusk 's shielded transaction model on DuskDS.
The mechanism: Phoenix uses PLONK proofs so a spend can be verified without revealing balances. The verifier is supposed to check a batch of polynomial commitments against a trusted verifier key before accepting any proof as valid.
The part I wanted to verify: according to a security firm's writeup four of those selector evaluations were never actually checked against their commitments the verifier consumed them without validating them. In theory that gap could let a forged proof pass as legitimate.
Why it matters: this sits directly beneath the shielded pool that regulated Asset flows are meant to inherit privacy from. A forged proof in an opaque note system is hard to catch after the fact that's the whole point of shielding.
The detail most people would miss: the fix landed mid February 2026 before the public disclosure in April so patched not exploited based on what's been published. What's unclear to me is whether this was caught by Dusk's internal review or an outside party first and how that timeline was communicated to partners relying on this layer. Does Audited mean much if the fix predates the disclosure by two months?