US dollar, US Treasuries, US stocks—let’s look at them together today

US stocks have been getting a lot of attention these past two days, so let’s talk about the related market.

Separate the three things: price action, earnings, and positioning.

The US dollar index has been hovering around 100 lately, and a weaker DXY is a structural positive for BTC.

Bank stocks are more sensitive to the yield curve—when the 2-10 year spread widens, the financial sector moves first.

How does this connect to the crypto market? PCE is down → rate-cut expectations heat up → the dollar weakens → BTC benefits.

Cross-check with the tape: BTC 76551 (+0.62%), DXY’s direction in sync is unclear

If it breaks a key level, you can follow with a small position; place your stop-loss below the structural level.

Are you still just watching for the contracts that are currently open?

#宏观 #BTC #FOMC

For personal observation only and does not constitute investment advice.