$BTC Bitcoin market academician: 9.18 Bitcoin (BTC) oscillation range—hidden undertows are surging, and the breakout window is quietly approaching? Latest market analysis and trading suggestions
Bitcoin’s current price is 76,500. The hardest part of trading is not figuring out the K-line, but holding your hand. In recent days, there are many apparent opportunities in this kind of choppy range, but most of them are traps. Many people can’t resist entering repeatedly, getting swept by stop-loss back and forth. But I already said a few days ago that below 76,000 is the best entry point from the northbound perspective. From the current order book, it may continue to grind for a while. Hold your northbound chips at the support level, and leave the rest to time.
The daily K-line EMA moving-average system still maintains a bullish arrangement. The short-term moving averages form support below the price, indicating that the overall daily trend has not fully turned bearish. The MACD histogram’s red bars continue to shrink; there are signs that DIF and DEA are both curling downward, and bullish momentum is gradually weakening. The Bollinger Bands are contracting, the volatility range is narrowing, suggesting that a major move is being brewed. Strong daily support is at 72,620. Resistance lies around 80,470. Only if price breaks above the resistance can the upward move be restarted. If support is broken, it will open room for a deeper pullback.
On the 4-hour K-line, multiple EMA moving averages are intertwined and glued together—this is a typical oscillation signal, with short-term bulls and bears roughly balanced. The Fibonacci 78.6% pressure level at 77,521 becomes the first resistance above in the short term, while support is at 74,460. The MACD repeatedly entangles around the zero axis; bullish and bearish momentum alternates, with no clear one-direction trend. The Bollinger Bands continue to narrow; the upper and lower rails are closer, and the volatility range keeps decreasing. There hasn’t been an effective breakout, so price wicks frequently from both sides—mostly a short-term range sweep. Only if there is volume and price holds steadily above 77,521 will bulls have a chance to regain control. If it breaks below 74,460, bears will dominate the short-term market.
Short-term reference
Long (northbound) near 76,000 to 75,500, stop-loss 500 points, targets 77,500 to 80,400.
For selling/short (southbound) on bounces from 77,500 to 77,800, take a stop-loss of 500 points, targets 77,000 to 76,000.
Specific execution should rely on real-time order-book data. For more information, please consult the article author. Note that publication may be delayed; these suggestions are for reference only—risk is your own.
#BTC突破7万大关 #BTC走势分析
Bitcoin’s current price is 76,500. The hardest part of trading is not figuring out the K-line, but holding your hand. In recent days, there are many apparent opportunities in this kind of choppy range, but most of them are traps. Many people can’t resist entering repeatedly, getting swept by stop-loss back and forth. But I already said a few days ago that below 76,000 is the best entry point from the northbound perspective. From the current order book, it may continue to grind for a while. Hold your northbound chips at the support level, and leave the rest to time.
The daily K-line EMA moving-average system still maintains a bullish arrangement. The short-term moving averages form support below the price, indicating that the overall daily trend has not fully turned bearish. The MACD histogram’s red bars continue to shrink; there are signs that DIF and DEA are both curling downward, and bullish momentum is gradually weakening. The Bollinger Bands are contracting, the volatility range is narrowing, suggesting that a major move is being brewed. Strong daily support is at 72,620. Resistance lies around 80,470. Only if price breaks above the resistance can the upward move be restarted. If support is broken, it will open room for a deeper pullback.
On the 4-hour K-line, multiple EMA moving averages are intertwined and glued together—this is a typical oscillation signal, with short-term bulls and bears roughly balanced. The Fibonacci 78.6% pressure level at 77,521 becomes the first resistance above in the short term, while support is at 74,460. The MACD repeatedly entangles around the zero axis; bullish and bearish momentum alternates, with no clear one-direction trend. The Bollinger Bands continue to narrow; the upper and lower rails are closer, and the volatility range keeps decreasing. There hasn’t been an effective breakout, so price wicks frequently from both sides—mostly a short-term range sweep. Only if there is volume and price holds steadily above 77,521 will bulls have a chance to regain control. If it breaks below 74,460, bears will dominate the short-term market.
Short-term reference
Long (northbound) near 76,000 to 75,500, stop-loss 500 points, targets 77,500 to 80,400.
For selling/short (southbound) on bounces from 77,500 to 77,800, take a stop-loss of 500 points, targets 77,000 to 76,000.
Specific execution should rely on real-time order-book data. For more information, please consult the article author. Note that publication may be delayed; these suggestions are for reference only—risk is your own.
#BTC突破7万大关 #BTC走势分析
