$100 worth of SOL—do you dare touch it?
First, look at the surface: a barrage of bad news—but it didn’t break.
In the past 30 days it’s up 31%, yet over 1 year it’s still down 57%. It feels like the distance from the ATH at $293 is a whole century. On September 15, the bill vote failed; the price instantly got smashed to $96. And today, it’s already been pulled back.
EMA20, EMA50, and EMA200 are all in bullish alignment across the board, ADX at 41 shows trend strength is maxed out—structure hasn’t broken. Don’t get scared out of your position by headlines.
First thing: The CLARITY Act failed, but the market only panicked for a day.
On September 15, the procedural vote for the CLARITY Act didn’t reach 60 votes, directly triggering panic selling and sending SOL down to $96.
Guess what? It rebounded the very next day. The big red candle on September 15, followed by two straight green candles that fully regained the lost ground.
Second thing: Rate hikes landed—the worst is behind us.
On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 bps, taking the rate to 3.75%-4.00%.
Sounds scary?
But look at the dot plot: by late 2026 and late 2027, rates are around 4.1%.
Put into plain words: this rate-hike cycle is down to the last kick.
Chairman Warsh said “inflation is too high for too long,” but traders didn’t care at all—BTC bounced straight to 77,000, and SOL strengthened in sync.
The market isn’t afraid of rate hikes; it’s afraid of not knowing how long it’ll go on. Now the answer is here: the finish line is in sight.
Third thing: Solana’s fundamentals—strong in a way that’s hard to believe
In August, non-voting trade volume hit 5.2 billion transactions, a record high, up 19% month-over-month. TVL is at 5.5–5.8 billion, RWA is over 3 billion, and stablecoin supply is 16 billion. Raydium and Orca fees have surged over the last 30 days.
Bank of America’s Column lists Solana as the default network for stablecoin—traditional banks can directly use fiat to swap into USDC/USDT.
Moscow Exchange launches SOL perpetuals on September 22.
Tomorrow, September 18, slot time drops to 250 milliseconds.
Exchange SOL balances down by over 3 million coins.
Spot ETF sees net inflows for 9 straight weeks.
Trading strategy
For short-term traders:
Confirm a valid breakout and hold above 102.5–103, target 105–107, stop-loss at 97.5. If it pulls back to 97–98 without breaking, buy lightly on the dip; target 101–102. If it breaks below 96.5, flip short-term bearish—watch 94 and even 90.
For mid-term players:
94–97 is the golden defensive zone. Build positions in batches. If the macro environment doesn’t worsen again and ETF inflows recover, target a test of 110.
For long-term believers:
Buy in with recurring investments with no hesitation below 94. The bet is that Solana transforms from a “high-performance L1” into an “RWA + stablecoin settlement layer.” Bank of America already picked it—Moscow Exchange is also set to launch. This is real institutional adoption.
First, look at the surface: a barrage of bad news—but it didn’t break.
In the past 30 days it’s up 31%, yet over 1 year it’s still down 57%. It feels like the distance from the ATH at $293 is a whole century. On September 15, the bill vote failed; the price instantly got smashed to $96. And today, it’s already been pulled back.
EMA20, EMA50, and EMA200 are all in bullish alignment across the board, ADX at 41 shows trend strength is maxed out—structure hasn’t broken. Don’t get scared out of your position by headlines.
First thing: The CLARITY Act failed, but the market only panicked for a day.
On September 15, the procedural vote for the CLARITY Act didn’t reach 60 votes, directly triggering panic selling and sending SOL down to $96.
Guess what? It rebounded the very next day. The big red candle on September 15, followed by two straight green candles that fully regained the lost ground.
Second thing: Rate hikes landed—the worst is behind us.
On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 bps, taking the rate to 3.75%-4.00%.
Sounds scary?
But look at the dot plot: by late 2026 and late 2027, rates are around 4.1%.
Put into plain words: this rate-hike cycle is down to the last kick.
Chairman Warsh said “inflation is too high for too long,” but traders didn’t care at all—BTC bounced straight to 77,000, and SOL strengthened in sync.
The market isn’t afraid of rate hikes; it’s afraid of not knowing how long it’ll go on. Now the answer is here: the finish line is in sight.
Third thing: Solana’s fundamentals—strong in a way that’s hard to believe
In August, non-voting trade volume hit 5.2 billion transactions, a record high, up 19% month-over-month. TVL is at 5.5–5.8 billion, RWA is over 3 billion, and stablecoin supply is 16 billion. Raydium and Orca fees have surged over the last 30 days.
Bank of America’s Column lists Solana as the default network for stablecoin—traditional banks can directly use fiat to swap into USDC/USDT.
Moscow Exchange launches SOL perpetuals on September 22.
Tomorrow, September 18, slot time drops to 250 milliseconds.
Exchange SOL balances down by over 3 million coins.
Spot ETF sees net inflows for 9 straight weeks.
Trading strategy
For short-term traders:
Confirm a valid breakout and hold above 102.5–103, target 105–107, stop-loss at 97.5. If it pulls back to 97–98 without breaking, buy lightly on the dip; target 101–102. If it breaks below 96.5, flip short-term bearish—watch 94 and even 90.
For mid-term players:
94–97 is the golden defensive zone. Build positions in batches. If the macro environment doesn’t worsen again and ETF inflows recover, target a test of 110.
For long-term believers:
Buy in with recurring investments with no hesitation below 94. The bet is that Solana transforms from a “high-performance L1” into an “RWA + stablecoin settlement layer.” Bank of America already picked it—Moscow Exchange is also set to launch. This is real institutional adoption.
