Many people approach trading by chasing the wrong thing from the very start—obsessively fixating on win rate. $ZEC
They wish that before every click of the order button, they could be 100% certain whether the next move would be up or down. If they miss two or three trades in a row, they start doubting their indicators; after a few consecutive losses, they urgently want to replace the entire trading system. I once knew a friend like that. His win rate wasn’t low at all—he could be right on six or seven out of ten trades—but in the end, his account balance still kept drifting downward. Looking at his trade history, the problem was obvious: when he was in profit, he would panic and exit as soon as the market moved up a few points; when he was losing, he would stubbornly hold on, thinking “if I wait a bit longer, it’ll bounce back.” One trade might make 300U, while the next reverse trade could lose 500U. With that kind of approach, even a high win rate can’t save you. $ETH
Later, he simply changed his thinking. He started recording every trade in reverse, no longer focusing only on “how many times was I right,” but also keeping a close eye on three core metrics at the same time: how much the average winning trade makes, how much the average losing trade loses, and how much loss he is willing to bear on a single trade. After making that adjustment, he no longer chased accuracy as obsessively as before. For some trades, he knew full well the success rate was only around 40%, but as long as he kept losses firmly within a safe range, he could hold steady when the market truly moved in his favor, and his account would still slowly trend upward. #币圈暴富
Since then, I’ve become less and less superstitious about so-called high win rates. A high win rate only means you often guess the market right, but how much profit you can lock in when you’re right, and how much capital you lose when you’re wrong, is what truly determines what remains in your account in the end. Now when I trade, I don’t care at all how high the win rate is for this single trade. I first ask only two questions: if the direction is wrong, can I accept this loss calmly? If the direction is right, is this move worth holding so I can capture the full stretch of gains?
There’s no need to force yourself to become someone who never makes mistakes. What really matters is that when your judgment is wrong, the cost doesn’t become crippling; and when your judgment is right, you don’t rush to give back all the profits you’ve already made. If you can do that, then even after several rough market moves in a row, you’ll still have usable capital, a stable mindset, and always another chance to start again.
They wish that before every click of the order button, they could be 100% certain whether the next move would be up or down. If they miss two or three trades in a row, they start doubting their indicators; after a few consecutive losses, they urgently want to replace the entire trading system. I once knew a friend like that. His win rate wasn’t low at all—he could be right on six or seven out of ten trades—but in the end, his account balance still kept drifting downward. Looking at his trade history, the problem was obvious: when he was in profit, he would panic and exit as soon as the market moved up a few points; when he was losing, he would stubbornly hold on, thinking “if I wait a bit longer, it’ll bounce back.” One trade might make 300U, while the next reverse trade could lose 500U. With that kind of approach, even a high win rate can’t save you. $ETH
Later, he simply changed his thinking. He started recording every trade in reverse, no longer focusing only on “how many times was I right,” but also keeping a close eye on three core metrics at the same time: how much the average winning trade makes, how much the average losing trade loses, and how much loss he is willing to bear on a single trade. After making that adjustment, he no longer chased accuracy as obsessively as before. For some trades, he knew full well the success rate was only around 40%, but as long as he kept losses firmly within a safe range, he could hold steady when the market truly moved in his favor, and his account would still slowly trend upward. #币圈暴富
Since then, I’ve become less and less superstitious about so-called high win rates. A high win rate only means you often guess the market right, but how much profit you can lock in when you’re right, and how much capital you lose when you’re wrong, is what truly determines what remains in your account in the end. Now when I trade, I don’t care at all how high the win rate is for this single trade. I first ask only two questions: if the direction is wrong, can I accept this loss calmly? If the direction is right, is this move worth holding so I can capture the full stretch of gains?
There’s no need to force yourself to become someone who never makes mistakes. What really matters is that when your judgment is wrong, the cost doesn’t become crippling; and when your judgment is right, you don’t rush to give back all the profits you’ve already made. If you can do that, then even after several rough market moves in a row, you’ll still have usable capital, a stable mindset, and always another chance to start again.
