A bull market starts amid rate hikes, while a bear market arrives with rate cuts. Why is this saying so often heard?
In fact, historically there have been several instances where rate hikes coincided with bull markets. For the main forces (i.e., institutions), this logic is actually quite convenient.
At lower levels, they keep feeding the market with negative news, continually. Then they gradually pull up the price, making most people feel there is still risk—so they don’t dare to jump in.
But once prices reach the high end, things reverse. Instead, they start rolling out constant positive news, leading retail investors to believe, “The bull market is just beginning.” This then makes it easier for the main forces to distribute their holdings.
So what I care about isn’t the good news itself, but rather what price level it appears at.
My prediction is: if later regulatory “good news” comes to fruition, and the expectation of rate cuts is confirmed, then you should be wary of a high-level top after the good news has already been “priced in.”
Therefore, good news doesn’t necessarily mean prices will rise. For the main forces, it could be the best time to unload—because they already knew the information in advance and had positioned themselves, while negative news is used to create panic and buy cheap shares. $BTC #DotPlotSignalsOneMoreHikeIn2026
#DotPlotSignalsOneMoreHikeIn2026
In fact, historically there have been several instances where rate hikes coincided with bull markets. For the main forces (i.e., institutions), this logic is actually quite convenient.
At lower levels, they keep feeding the market with negative news, continually. Then they gradually pull up the price, making most people feel there is still risk—so they don’t dare to jump in.
But once prices reach the high end, things reverse. Instead, they start rolling out constant positive news, leading retail investors to believe, “The bull market is just beginning.” This then makes it easier for the main forces to distribute their holdings.
So what I care about isn’t the good news itself, but rather what price level it appears at.
My prediction is: if later regulatory “good news” comes to fruition, and the expectation of rate cuts is confirmed, then you should be wary of a high-level top after the good news has already been “priced in.”
Therefore, good news doesn’t necessarily mean prices will rise. For the main forces, it could be the best time to unload—because they already knew the information in advance and had positioned themselves, while negative news is used to create panic and buy cheap shares. $BTC #DotPlotSignalsOneMoreHikeIn2026
#DotPlotSignalsOneMoreHikeIn2026
