【Trump “fires” at the US Federal Reserve: demands rates be cut to 1%】
🏷 Signal tag: #政策冲突 #expectations of monetary easing
📌 Event highlights:
① The Federal Reserve has just raised rates to 4%. Immediately afterward, Trump urged that they be cut to 1%, criticizing the Fed team for being unable to cooperate
② The dot plot suggests there could be another rate hike within the year, sharply contrasting with the president’s calls for easing
③ Pressure from the president on central bank independence increases policy uncertainty and intensifies market volatility
📊 Encrypted market analysis:
The Fed raised rates by 25 bps in September to 4%, the first rate hike since 2023. However, Trump immediately publicly called for a dramatic cut to 1%. This “president vs. central bank facing off” situation is extremely rare. On one hand, hawkish rate hikes directly suppress risk assets and weigh on Bitcoin, pushing it toward the 75,000 area. On the other hand, Trump’s dovish comments inject market speculation that policy might shift in the future. When rate-hike expectations and calls for rate cuts coexist, policy uncertainty can only push volatility higher.
💡 Trading approach:
In the short term, Bitcoin is likely to see weak, range-bound consolidation. 72,000 to 76,000 is the key observation zone. Aggressive traders may take a small long position near 72,000, with a stop-loss below the 70,000 psychological level. More cautious traders should continue waiting, and make a decision after the December Fed meeting releases clearer signals. If inflation and tariff data continue to rise, rate-cut expectations will be further delayed.
💬 Do you think Trump’s pressure will change the Fed’s rate-hike schedule? Or is this just political posturing?
$BTC #宏观 #比特币 #Blue Eucalyptus VS Bird of Letting Go
🏷 Signal tag: #政策冲突 #expectations of monetary easing
📌 Event highlights:
① The Federal Reserve has just raised rates to 4%. Immediately afterward, Trump urged that they be cut to 1%, criticizing the Fed team for being unable to cooperate
② The dot plot suggests there could be another rate hike within the year, sharply contrasting with the president’s calls for easing
③ Pressure from the president on central bank independence increases policy uncertainty and intensifies market volatility
📊 Encrypted market analysis:
The Fed raised rates by 25 bps in September to 4%, the first rate hike since 2023. However, Trump immediately publicly called for a dramatic cut to 1%. This “president vs. central bank facing off” situation is extremely rare. On one hand, hawkish rate hikes directly suppress risk assets and weigh on Bitcoin, pushing it toward the 75,000 area. On the other hand, Trump’s dovish comments inject market speculation that policy might shift in the future. When rate-hike expectations and calls for rate cuts coexist, policy uncertainty can only push volatility higher.
💡 Trading approach:
In the short term, Bitcoin is likely to see weak, range-bound consolidation. 72,000 to 76,000 is the key observation zone. Aggressive traders may take a small long position near 72,000, with a stop-loss below the 70,000 psychological level. More cautious traders should continue waiting, and make a decision after the December Fed meeting releases clearer signals. If inflation and tariff data continue to rise, rate-cut expectations will be further delayed.
💬 Do you think Trump’s pressure will change the Fed’s rate-hike schedule? Or is this just political posturing?
$BTC #宏观 #比特币 #Blue Eucalyptus VS Bird of Letting Go