Bitcoin rejected 78K and is locking itself into a 74K–78K range. ETH at $2,420 is defending $2,400. Volume $101.85B, liquidations $665M, Fear & Greed dropped from 69 to 51. RSI ~58, MACD negative. This is not a bounce — it’s consolidation ahead of the FOMC verdict.

• BTC: support at $74,950 (low of 15/09). A close < $76,000 opens $74,500. Volume rising = possible distribution, not accumulation.

• ETH: 400 is the lifeline. A firm break opens $2,280. ETH ETFs +$216.4M on 09/11 — institutions are buying, but the whale distributed $408M. Open conflict.

• Macro : Core CPI +0.3% (est. 0.2%), FOMC Wednesday. The Fed is “overly hawkish” according to MNFund. A CPI above 2.6% pushes BTC toward 74K. A CPI below 2.3% reignites the rally.

👉 Do you think BTC retests 80K before the end of September, or does it break 74K first? Reply with one word: "UP" or "DOWN".

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