🌑 At 2 a.m., the Federal Reserve delivers its decision. It raises rates by 25 basis points, bringing the interest rate up to 3.75%–4.00%. $BTC $牛来 $ZEC
This is the first rate hike since July 2023, ending a streak of five consecutive meetings where the Fed held steady. Judging purely by the outcome of this hike, the market had already priced it in, with little surprise.

● But what truly chills the trading screen underneath is the dot plot released at the same time 📊

Of the 19 officials, 16 believe there should be another rate hike this year.
Compared with the June forecast—at the time, there were still 8 officials leaning toward holding steady—now that number has dropped to zero.
More importantly: the officials who think the Fed will hike cumulatively by 75 basis points this year surged from 1 in June to 4;
Those expecting 50 basis points rose from 5 to 12.

In simple terms: the Fed’s internal dovish voices were largely drowned out. Now the only disagreement is about “how much to hike,” and no one is debating whether to hike at all.

● Previously, the market priced in nearly a 90% chance of a rate hike—it only priced the current hike ⚠️

After the dot plot is released, the market must reprice how many additional rate hikes may still come. That’s the real source of pressure in this round.

● Impact on $BTC 💹

The rate hike itself is not a black swan, but the hawkishness of the dot plot is clearly more than expected.
Once expectations of higher rates—and for longer—are confirmed, valuations of risk assets will face sustained pressure.

Musk 🔥⭐🐶M ar v in⬇️b⬇️s⬇️c

What do you think—how far will BTC fall with this hawkish Fed signal? Let’s discuss in the comments. #美联储加息是否已成定局 #Zcash上涨6% #比特币ETF净流出4.5亿美元