🚨 #008 — FOLLOW-UP #007: the Fed raised rates. Do we buy BTC?
Yesterday, with $BTC around US$76,200, we set three clear conditions before the Federal Reserve decision.
Now we have the result:
🇺🇸 The Fed raised the rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.75%–4.00%.
This is the first hike since 2023.
Now comes what matters:
Did our buy get triggered?
Not yet.
In #007 we said we would start considering a partial buy only if BTC held the US$75,000–76,000 zone and then recovered US$77,000.
BTC is still around US$75,600.
🟡 My decision: wait.
I wouldn’t buy just because the Fed decision has already happened.
🎯 Plan from here
🟢 If $BTC recovers US$77,000 and manages to hold, I would start evaluating a partial buy.
💪 If later it recovers US$79,000–80,000, the recovery would have a stronger confirmation.
🔴 If it clearly loses US$74,900–75,000, our recovery thesis is invalidated and I would look for a new zone before buying.
Why am I staying cautious?
The rate hike was widely expected. What matters now is especially what the Fed communicates about the next decisions.
Higher rates make money more expensive and normally reduce appetite for higher-risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
We’re not trying to guess the bottom. We’re waiting for the market to confirm our entry.
📊 Status of the #007 thesis: ACTIVE — buy not triggered yet.
Conviction: 88/100
📌 FOLLOW-UP / ALERT
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Fed #Binance
Yesterday, with $BTC around US$76,200, we set three clear conditions before the Federal Reserve decision.
Now we have the result:
🇺🇸 The Fed raised the rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.75%–4.00%.
This is the first hike since 2023.
Now comes what matters:
Did our buy get triggered?
Not yet.
In #007 we said we would start considering a partial buy only if BTC held the US$75,000–76,000 zone and then recovered US$77,000.
BTC is still around US$75,600.
🟡 My decision: wait.
I wouldn’t buy just because the Fed decision has already happened.
🎯 Plan from here
🟢 If $BTC recovers US$77,000 and manages to hold, I would start evaluating a partial buy.
💪 If later it recovers US$79,000–80,000, the recovery would have a stronger confirmation.
🔴 If it clearly loses US$74,900–75,000, our recovery thesis is invalidated and I would look for a new zone before buying.
Why am I staying cautious?
The rate hike was widely expected. What matters now is especially what the Fed communicates about the next decisions.
Higher rates make money more expensive and normally reduce appetite for higher-risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
We’re not trying to guess the bottom. We’re waiting for the market to confirm our entry.
📊 Status of the #007 thesis: ACTIVE — buy not triggered yet.
Conviction: 88/100
📌 FOLLOW-UP / ALERT
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Fed #Binance