The options market has already voted: it’s not betting on whether to “raise rates or not,” but on whether “this play ends after one night.” Will there be a rate hike this week? → Yes, with a probability of about 90%, but that part doesn’t matter anymore.
Now there’s less than 2 hours until the decision (02:00 Beijing time on 9/17). What’s really valuable isn’t whether they’ll raise rates, but the dot plot—how many times are left this year. Is this the start of a single hike or multiple hikes? → The options market’s answer is crystal clear: what the market is pricing is “a one-off.”
btc hard floor 74k, eth hard floor 2280.#美联储加息是否已成定局 $ETH $BTC
Now there’s less than 2 hours until the decision (02:00 Beijing time on 9/17). What’s really valuable isn’t whether they’ll raise rates, but the dot plot—how many times are left this year. Is this the start of a single hike or multiple hikes? → The options market’s answer is crystal clear: what the market is pricing is “a one-off.”
btc hard floor 74k, eth hard floor 2280.#美联储加息是否已成定局 $ETH $BTC