My expectations differ from the general market trend. Interest rates will not be raised, and markets will rise.
📊 Strong consensus on Wall Street for raising rates today
🟢 Expectations of 21 financial institutions show that 19 of them anticipate a rate hike at the Federal meeting today, with the markets pricing in a more than 90% chance of a hike.
🏦 Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, and RBC expect a total increase of 75 basis points during 2026, while most other institutions expect 50 basis points. Jefferies, however, goes against the trend by expecting a 25 basis point cut in December.
🛢 This comes as oil surpasses $100 and the yield on U.S. Treasury bonds with a 10-year maturity rises above 5%, increasing inflation pressures and reinforcing expectations for tighter monetary policy.
Image as of Morocco time
📊 Strong consensus on Wall Street for raising rates today
🟢 Expectations of 21 financial institutions show that 19 of them anticipate a rate hike at the Federal meeting today, with the markets pricing in a more than 90% chance of a hike.
🏦 Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, and RBC expect a total increase of 75 basis points during 2026, while most other institutions expect 50 basis points. Jefferies, however, goes against the trend by expecting a 25 basis point cut in December.
🛢 This comes as oil surpasses $100 and the yield on U.S. Treasury bonds with a 10-year maturity rises above 5%, increasing inflation pressures and reinforcing expectations for tighter monetary policy.
Image as of Morocco time
