The market facing two separate shocks at the same time:
1. Regulatory shock: CLARITY failure → pressure on XRP and ETH and related crypto and Bitcoin-linked stocks.
2. Possible liquidity shock: the Federal Reserve’s decision today → could change the direction of the dollar, yields, and liquidity, thereby adding a new layer of volatility.
Therefore, today’s BTC move may be more complex than just a “positive/negative Federal news” headline. If liquidity shifts strongly after the FOMC decision, the macro move may temporarily overpower the effect of CLARITY.
For trading, it’s important to monitor BTC + ETF flows + DXY + bond yields + XRP/ETH together, rather than relying on a single indicator.