$BTC
Right now, multiple pressures are hitting at the same time:
the Fed + bond yields + oil/inflation + political uncertainty around crypto regulation + a decline in capital inflows.
That’s why alts look especially nervous: when BTC sneezes in this kind of environment, alts usually start looking for a first-aid kit 😂
🗺️ Where are we “heading”?
I wouldn’t call this a forecast yet—I’d look at the branching paths:
$74.97k is the key nearest checkpoint.
If that level holds → there’s room for recovery first to $76.1-76.4k, then to $76.8-77.0k.
If $74.97k is convincingly lost → technically the next notable area on your 1D is about $72.7-72.8k.
And a return above $76.3-76.9k would noticeably improve the picture on 1H/1D.
And most importantly: today I wouldn’t try to guess the move ahead of the Fed. Right now the market is basically standing there with a sign:
“First we’ll see what Uncle Fed says, and then we’ll decide where to fly” 😂
After the decision, volatility could rise sharply in both directions, so my/your usual M15 → M5 here is especially more useful than trying to guess the direction from a single daily chart.
Right now, multiple pressures are hitting at the same time:
the Fed + bond yields + oil/inflation + political uncertainty around crypto regulation + a decline in capital inflows.
That’s why alts look especially nervous: when BTC sneezes in this kind of environment, alts usually start looking for a first-aid kit 😂
🗺️ Where are we “heading”?
I wouldn’t call this a forecast yet—I’d look at the branching paths:
$74.97k is the key nearest checkpoint.
If that level holds → there’s room for recovery first to $76.1-76.4k, then to $76.8-77.0k.
If $74.97k is convincingly lost → technically the next notable area on your 1D is about $72.7-72.8k.
And a return above $76.3-76.9k would noticeably improve the picture on 1H/1D.
And most importantly: today I wouldn’t try to guess the move ahead of the Fed. Right now the market is basically standing there with a sign:
“First we’ll see what Uncle Fed says, and then we’ll decide where to fly” 😂
After the decision, volatility could rise sharply in both directions, so my/your usual M15 → M5 here is especially more useful than trying to guess the direction from a single daily chart.
